{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
  "slug": "kxaaagasd-26jun13",
  "question": "National average gas price, June 13, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      4.08,
      4.09
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 4.07,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.07,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.08,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.08,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.08,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.09,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.09,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.1,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.11,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.11,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.12,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.12,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.12,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.13,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gas-prices",
    "energy-commodities",
    "short-term-prediction",
    "daily-resolution",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the AAA daily national average retail gasoline price on June 20, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds from $4.065 to $4.130, each resolved independently via Kalshi staff determination. The implied distribution across strikes prices the probability mass around a specific price level, functioning collectively as a synthetic continuous range. The authoritative data source is AAA's daily gasoline price survey.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NCFFWYFVY1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44FVQTS3T6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.065",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.065?",
      "description": "Above 4.065",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.065: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.065 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 421.74,
      "volume_total_usd": 421.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.07,
      "question_id": "CMX-7E0D5E1BB0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96TB0N1DQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.070",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.070?",
      "description": "Above 4.070",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.070: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.070 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1224.23,
      "volume_total_usd": 1224.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.07,
      "question_id": "CMX-DBE1C4A427",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-56TH55M2M1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.075",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.075?",
      "description": "Above 4.075",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.075: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.075 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1314.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 1314.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.08,
      "question_id": "CMX-1EA4A063C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBZY40D9F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.080",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?",
      "description": "Above 4.080",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.080: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.080 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 794.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 794.43,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.08,
      "question_id": "CMX-5744B51343",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZLQ60SGCS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.085",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.085?",
      "description": "Above 4.085",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.085: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.085 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2309.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 2311.12,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.08,
      "question_id": "CMX-ABA2DAE573",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NCFFWYFVY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.090",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.090?",
      "description": "Above 4.090",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.090: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.090 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 466.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 475.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.09,
      "question_id": "CMX-EFBB43F9C9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZVWK4ZJW41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.095",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.095?",
      "description": "Above 4.095",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.095: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.095 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 941.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 941.91,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.09,
      "question_id": "CMX-8238CD42AB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6CQTNCHSK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.100",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.100?",
      "description": "Above 4.100",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.100: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.100 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 147.52,
      "volume_total_usd": 147.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-3380B21505",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5R144YG178",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.105",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.105?",
      "description": "Above 4.105",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.105: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.105 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 67.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 67.7,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.11,
      "question_id": "CMX-5CE99A5AF5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KC8K5TDQ41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.110",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.110?",
      "description": "Above 4.110",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.110: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.110 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 42.72,
      "volume_total_usd": 42.72,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.11,
      "question_id": "CMX-FC3A12A2BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7RVF623VQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.115",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.115?",
      "description": "Above 4.115",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.115: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.115 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.12,
      "question_id": "CMX-3501FF0EE1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KBBQBDWD33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.120",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.120?",
      "description": "Above 4.120",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.120: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.120 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 31.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 31.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.12,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB5ACB184E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J79YWR2F73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.125",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.125?",
      "description": "Above 4.125",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.125: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.125 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.12,
      "question_id": "CMX-4147DA620D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YRZ1Y7JHF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASD-26JUN13-4.130",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.130?",
      "description": "Above 4.130",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.130: Average national gas prices on AAA's daily survey resolve by Kalshi staff determination on June 20, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.130 on Jun 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.13,
      "question_id": "CMX-28553B1BF7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "fuel",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44FVQTS3T6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96TB0N1DQ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-56TH55M2M1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBZY40D9F6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZLQ60SGCS9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NCFFWYFVY1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZVWK4ZJW41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6CQTNCHSK1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5R144YG178",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KC8K5TDQ41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7RVF623VQ8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KBBQBDWD33",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J79YWR2F73",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YRZ1Y7JHF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T13:53:33.388903Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SQ8J9G9Z57",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}