{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
  "slug": "kxaaagasm-26aug31",
  "question": "AAA average gas price, August 31, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      3.9,
      4
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 2.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.6,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.7,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.8,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.9,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.2,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.3,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.4,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.5,
        "prob": 87
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.6,
        "prob": 84
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.7,
        "prob": 75
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.8,
        "prob": 60
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.9,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 28
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.1,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.2,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.3,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.4,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.5,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.6,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.7,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.8,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.9,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gas-prices",
    "energy-commodities",
    "2026",
    "economic-indicators",
    "consumer-prices"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the AAA weekly average national gasoline price as of September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern. Kalshi structures this as a ladder of binary strike thresholds from $2.50 to $4.40 per gallon. Each strike is an independent binary; together they imply a full implied probability distribution over the price level. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination using the AAA published figure at that timestamp.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-F4019TV424",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99,
    "as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G6MX3RHDV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-2.50",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?",
      "description": "Above 2.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.50: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4034.1312000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E50E8A0109",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXMTF1GM98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-2.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.60?",
      "description": "Above 2.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.60: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.60 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2265.6942,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-0794B1DDB9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XWF8LWBKQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-2.70",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.70?",
      "description": "Above 2.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.70: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.70 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12750.417899999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-2370AA673E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PHLLL43670",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-2.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?",
      "description": "Above 2.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.80: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.80 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-20T07:01:21.164Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9253.9854,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-DA5C0E1062",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KH220MMM81",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-2.90",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?",
      "description": "Above 2.90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.90: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4472.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-F9C171CEEE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
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        {
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          "status": "review",
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          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V51RMX6020",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?",
      "description": "Above 3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.00: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4723.7949,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-C8168AC3C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8W909TTRN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.10",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?",
      "description": "Above 3.10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.10: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.10 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4826.764800000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-A658E2A74A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
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          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0ZM6HHNMY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?",
      "description": "Above 3.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.20: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.20 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-20T07:01:21.164Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6189.7473,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-83ED02C75F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GVRQ8PZWF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.30",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?",
      "description": "Above 3.30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.30: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.30 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14988.0159,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-A3AB21752F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
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        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "review",
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            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L3WQYKL622",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?",
      "description": "Above 3.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.40: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.40 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-20T07:01:21.164Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20202.6216,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-9C4C01A4C6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
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        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "review",
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            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NF3FVVFKY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.50",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?",
      "description": "Above 3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.50: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T14:01:25.783Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 49.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 23436.7353,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-4F61CB3D39",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
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        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6CD68TQ112",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?",
      "description": "Above 3.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.60: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.60 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18524.0484,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-2FDCB9822C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBF3LP25P5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.70",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70?",
      "description": "Above 3.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.70: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.70 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T14:01:25.783Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 198,
      "volume_total_usd": 27665.0253,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-475FA8A612",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
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        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H1T3PBF9L5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.80?",
      "description": "Above 3.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.80: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.80 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 35178.775799999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-45457A6172",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FZF1NXL5T3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-3.90",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.90?",
      "description": "Above 3.90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.90: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.90 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.5737,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-8ED9C15AA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F4019TV424",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-4.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00?",
      "description": "Above 4.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.00: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.00 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 305.5932,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-533FFDB4D3",
      "also_on": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLQZ089BK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-4.10",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10?",
      "description": "Above 4.10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.10: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.10 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 452.7806,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-EF073AED70",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gasoline",
        "us",
        "us gas"
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6B63KXX031",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WLSN5GTP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26AUG31-4.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.20?",
      "description": "Above 4.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.20: AAA's weekly average gasoline price on September 30, 2026 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}