{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
  "slug": "kxaaagasm-26jul31",
  "question": "Average **gas prices**",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      4.22,
      4.24
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 2.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.6,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.7,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.8,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.9,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.2,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.3,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.4,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.6,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.7,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.8,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.9,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.04,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.06,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.08,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.12,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.14,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.16,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.18,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.2,
        "prob": 74
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.22,
        "prob": 64
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.24,
        "prob": 49
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.26,
        "prob": 36
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.28,
        "prob": 20
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.3,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.4,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.5,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gas-prices",
    "energy-commodities",
    "economic-indicators",
    "july-2026",
    "price-threshold"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the AAA National Average Gas Price for July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a strip of binary strike thresholds, from $2.50 to above $4.00 and beyond, each resolved by Kalshi staff determination. The implied price distribution is readable by comparing probabilities across the strike ladder. AAA publishes the authoritative daily national average; resolution occurs August 30, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G3RCHFXN18",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.02,
    "implied_probability": 0.02
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LTVJ4VXYQ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-2.50",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?",
      "description": "Above 2.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.50: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 28.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 1369.6551,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3B191554C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SS3TD7FXM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-2.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.60?",
      "description": "Above 2.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.60: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.60 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1403.2656,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-EA4F50E994",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-46BQKWQ648",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-2.70",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.70?",
      "description": "Above 2.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.70: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.70 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1828.9656,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-BFEA1AEEE2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBWFGGQF02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-2.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?",
      "description": "Above 2.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.80: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.80 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2162.0016,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-654B5E3079",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V7Y3JDRJN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-2.90",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?",
      "description": "Above 2.90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.90: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 3358.2879,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-F29FB98338",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZBV3WPM2R1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-3.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?",
      "description": "Above 3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.00: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 5669.5122,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-59249071F2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BP7FW557R8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-3.10",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?",
      "description": "Above 3.10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.10: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.10 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 52.2225,
      "volume_total_usd": 3750.6942,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-B3C32C63A1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YH99TTS2Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-3.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?",
      "description": "Above 3.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.20: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.20 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3687.4827,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-CF04C2C031",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TBMSSZ1BW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-3.30",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?",
      "description": "Above 3.30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.30: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.30 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8036.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-058BD72194",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D3G0Y0MNW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-3.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?",
      "description": "Above 3.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.40: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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    },
    {
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.50: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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    },
    {
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      "description": "Above 3.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.60: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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    },
    {
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70?",
      "description": "Above 3.70",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.70: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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    {
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      "description": "Above 3.80",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.80: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.90?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.90: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.00: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.00 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.02: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.04: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.06: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.06 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.08: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.08 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.10: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.10 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 18816.228700000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 128288.7118,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-5326692EC8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XGL59KYK63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.12",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.12?",
      "description": "Above 4.12",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.12: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.12 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "volume_24h_usd": 936.9549999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 11554.0823,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.12,
      "question_id": "CMX-8ECAFCE8C5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FCD7FZ43P4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.14",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.14?",
      "description": "Above 4.14",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.14: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.14 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1127.191,
      "volume_total_usd": 12740.0142,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.14,
      "question_id": "CMX-8096B9C7D6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2RSJ55X3G0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.16",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.16?",
      "description": "Above 4.16",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.16: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.16 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 391.866,
      "volume_total_usd": 3469.809,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.16,
      "question_id": "CMX-4D8AD558ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3Y1KTJ7CJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.18",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.18?",
      "description": "Above 4.18",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.18: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.18 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 255.58400000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 1208.156,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.18,
      "question_id": "CMX-2AAE4874E2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "us",
        "us gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-67YJBS4770",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.20?",
      "description": "Above 4.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.20: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.20 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 337.83959999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 8082.5664,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-D80E042B90",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-30KD83RLL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.22",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.22?",
      "description": "Above 4.22",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.22: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.22 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 144.10139999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 394.0542,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.22,
      "question_id": "CMX-E4B7CFD0E6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G3RCHFXN18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.24",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.24?",
      "description": "Above 4.24",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.24: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.24 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 126.5964,
      "volume_total_usd": 261.531,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.24,
      "question_id": "CMX-367064C4FD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4JHRWKX9N9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.26",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.26?",
      "description": "Above 4.26",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.26: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.26 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 160.4918,
      "volume_total_usd": 321.2582,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.26,
      "question_id": "CMX-8FE4EB1C59",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JB8RZR61J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.28",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.28?",
      "description": "Above 4.28",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.28: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.28 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 83.80330000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 154.5851,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.28,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACC6F51C5C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZZXXL2M9M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.30",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30?",
      "description": "Above 4.30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.30: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.30 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
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      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 66.35520000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 545.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-F9C7FC5207",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-92K0FVZ3P1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.40?",
      "description": "Above 4.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.40: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.40 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 660.1664999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-3CA642DADB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RTZMDPQH41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUL31-4.50",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?",
      "description": "Above 4.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.50: AAA National Average Gas Price data resolves the market on August 30, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, determining whether the specified price threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.50 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 617.4112,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-F9D5219AD9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9BFFMNBK34",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}