{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
  "slug": "kxaaagasm-26jun30",
  "question": "Will US gas prices reach a specific threshold in June 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gasoline-prices",
    "energy-commodities",
    "near-term-forecast",
    "2026",
    "inflation-indicator"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the AAA national average retail gasoline price as of July 7, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, pricing the probability that the national average exceeds each $0.10 threshold from $2.90 to $4.80. The spread between adjacent strikes implies a market-derived probability density over the price range. Kalshi staff determination against AAA data read at 2 p.m. ET on July 7, 2026 governs resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8MVHDC8ML6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.88,
    "implied_probability": 0.88
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VBJBM3QWW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-2.90",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?",
      "description": "Above 2.90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.90: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1165.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-12C3BE20AE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6NG75WP08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?",
      "description": "Above 3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.00: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 74.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-A76D516257",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9HHTNKBVT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.10",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?",
      "description": "Above 3.10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.10: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.10 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1928.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-27E94ED0DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2MSV9BZL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?",
      "description": "Above 3.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.20: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.20 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1295.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-CE463873B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2RXK7YGH05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.30",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?",
      "description": "Above 3.30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.30: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.30 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1261.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-21C83E5F26",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8MVHDC8ML6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?",
      "description": "Above 3.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.40: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.40 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3590.77,
      "volume_total_usd": 4660.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-60601D9E5F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LQV5CJCP44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.50",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?",
      "description": "Above 3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.50: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2702.11,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-40496F2B98",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PLL9QR6377",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?",
      "description": "Above 3.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.60: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.60 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23.04,
      "volume_total_usd": 2673.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-89BBF71ABF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7GRYD786J2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.70",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70?",
      "description": "Above 3.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.70: AAA national average gas price data on July 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.70 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 997.33,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-972004436C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodities",
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H985HHCCK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASM-26JUN30-3.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above $3.80?",
      "description": "Above 3.80",
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