{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
  "slug": "kxaaagasmaxca-26dec31",
  "question": "Will gas prices in California reach a specific high this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "gas-prices",
    "california",
    "2026",
    "energy-commodities",
    "price-threshold"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track California average retail gasoline prices against ten discrete strike thresholds ranging from $6.20 to $8.00. Each Kalshi contract is a binary at a single strike level; together they form an implied price distribution. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract using the AAA national average reported on January 7, 2027. Note that AAA publishes the authoritative price data, not Kalshi directly.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RLKC9JVL08",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.17,
    "implied_probability": 0.17,
    "as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9VHMSFC6X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.20: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 88.86359999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 12924.414,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2E6BC17E10",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "california average gas",
        "energy",
        "gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-19SR2VJK08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.40: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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          {
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.57,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 424.7468999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 9692.7018,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3A5B9A3D08",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9B08WRNFG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.60: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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          {
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 168.37800000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 5334.070000000001,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D2C4AEAB10",
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        "2026",
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        "california average gas",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DPMKZRCKF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.80: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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          {
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.8605,
      "volume_total_usd": 12158.540099999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-335212020A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "california average gas",
        "energy",
        "gas"
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLKC9JVL08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.00: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "name": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.17,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 69.02000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 13678.4754,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8ECE0B4735",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0HC3K2XCW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.20: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.054000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 3628.1265,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2008A0595D",
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      "tags": [
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        "california average gas",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FD7CQ20WP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.40: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 39.704600000000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 2872.7153000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-18DD4F6B4F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "california",
        "california average gas",
        "energy",
        "gas"
      ],
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GWLD6XKKP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.60: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 162.5625,
      "volume_total_usd": 4783.0231,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A01CD0A5A3",
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        "california",
        "california average gas",
        "energy",
        "gas"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4KLZKGLWV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X46S523RK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.80: AAA national average gas price on January 7, 2027 determines whether the listed metric closes above or below the specified threshold at market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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}