{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
  "slug": "kxaaagasmaxny-26dec31",
  "question": "Will gas prices in New York reach $X per gallon this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "gas-prices",
    "new-york",
    "energy-commodities",
    "us-inflation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These eight Kalshi markets track New York retail gasoline prices against discrete strike thresholds ranging from $4.80 to $6.20 per gallon on December 31, 2026. Each binary contract asks whether the AAA national average gas price will close above or below a given level, forming an implied probability distribution across the full strike ladder. Together they function as a term structure, letting traders express or hedge views on price magnitude rather than direction alone. Kalshi staff determination resolves all eight on January 7, 2027, using AAA national average gas price data as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8SN7Z1WLM4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38,
    "as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8SN7Z1WLM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.80: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 316.1296,
      "volume_total_usd": 5428.7522,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5174EE3D67",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y2SS5KHD64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 52.4595,
      "volume_total_usd": 2357.6175,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-638112A79F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FJ6VBMFXB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.20: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.161,
      "implied_probability": 0.161,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.444450000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 1969.87686,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8AA4249AF3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TM59PXZS89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.40: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.068,
      "implied_probability": 0.068,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.564,
      "volume_total_usd": 585.46708,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-16F1ADAB9D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2LS14BFFT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.60: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.107,
      "implied_probability": 0.107,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.461,
      "volume_total_usd": 754.6388999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-46BE4545AF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BLLVR2LXW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.80: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.9992,
      "volume_total_usd": 219.07680000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C10220C50C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MW4HS1JZD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-6.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 235.91699999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-25338D892D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QDKF29NH00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-6.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.20: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 104.5064,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2E6BC17E10",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "new york",
        "prices",
        "york gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TG4Z8WM3G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.60: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-18T18:49:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
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