{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
  "slug": "kxaaagasmaxny-26dec31",
  "question": "Will gas prices in New York reach $X per gallon this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "energy-prices",
    "gas-prices",
    "new-york",
    "commodity-markets",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the AAA national average retail gasoline price as of December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strikes from $4.60 to $6.20 in $0.20 increments. Together, the strikes imply a market-derived probability distribution over the year-end price level. Kalshi staff determination resolves all contracts on January 7, 2027, using AAA data as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8SN7Z1WLM4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.495,
    "implied_probability": 0.495
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TG4Z8WM3G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.60: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-18T18:49:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3756.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DA121D661B",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "york average gas"
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        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8SN7Z1WLM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.80: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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      "last_price": 0.495,
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      "question_id": "CMX-5174EE3D67",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.32,
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      "question_id": "CMX-638112A79F",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FJ6VBMFXB1",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.20: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.343,
      "implied_probability": 0.343,
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      "volume_total_usd": 3402.97503,
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      "question_id": "CMX-8AA4249AF3",
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        "2026",
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        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TM59PXZS89",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.40: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.297,
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.60: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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      "last_price": 0.079,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.5484000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 544.01296,
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      "question_id": "CMX-46BE4545AF",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.80",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.80: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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      "last_price": 0.15,
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      "question_id": "CMX-C10220C50C",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
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      "last_price": 0.13,
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.20: AAA national average gas price data as of December 31, 2026 resolves this market on January 7, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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            "name": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.18,
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