{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
  "slug": "kxaaagasmaxtx-26dec31",
  "question": "Will gas prices in Texas reach a specific high level this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "gas-prices",
    "texas",
    "energy-commodities",
    "2026",
    "price-threshold"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the AAA national average retail gasoline price on December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, pricing ten sequential above/below thresholds from $4.20 to $6.00. Each binary resolves via Kalshi staff determination against the AAA national average, the authoritative source. The canonical question references Texas, but all ten contracts price the national average, not a Texas-specific series.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TSL87HC154",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.29,
    "implied_probability": 0.29,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TSL87HC154",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-4.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.20: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.963899999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 4092.0739999999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3DBCEFFBFB",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
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          "cluster": "commodity_prices"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JGC351NZL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-4.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.40: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4706.886800000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-983722850E",
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        "2026",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
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      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.60: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 28.000000000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 1689.8084000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DA121D661B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J8HWM6HCK4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-4.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.80: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 4,
      "volume_total_usd": 1750.33,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5174EE3D67",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-86ZD8W5KQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-5.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "name": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.910000000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 1073.3171,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-638112A79F",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-71P2SJS3B8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-5.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.20: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 841.3956,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8AA4249AF3",
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      "tags": [
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        "gas",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSSMDQX919",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-5.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.40: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-26T17:00:38.433Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 120.4065,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-16F1ADAB9D",
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        "2026",
        "gas",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FMQ41XZJQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-5.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.60: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "name": "AAA",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-26T17:00:38.433Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 33.3824,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-46BE4545AF",
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        "texas average gas"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WN738PY667",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMAXTX-26DEC31-5.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.80: AAA national average gas price on December 31, 2026 determines if the metric closes above or below the stated threshold, per Kalshi staff determination by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
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            "name": "AAA",
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        ],
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}