{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
  "slug": "kxaaagasmin-26dec31",
  "question": "Will US gas prices reach below $2.00 per gallon at any point during 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gas-prices",
    "energy-commodities",
    "2026",
    "price-floor",
    "economic-indicators"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the U.S. national average retail gasoline price at year-end 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a descending ladder of binary strike thresholds, from $3.80 down to $2.00. Each strike prices the probability that the price level falls below that threshold by December 31, 2026. AAA's reported national average on January 7, 2027 is the authoritative data source, with Kalshi staff determination as the resolution mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JCYZZK8QV9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JCYZZK8QV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $3.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $3.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $3.80: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-06T18:20:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7950.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-FF03ABBDB2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SRKXGSBM21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $3.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $3.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $3.60: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5423.4334,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-074CF770A0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4ZTT8YJTV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $3.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $3.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $3.40: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.98,
      "volume_total_usd": 2535.2796,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-86BB96257C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3TFXKC0JQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $3.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $3.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $3.20: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.7085,
      "volume_total_usd": 2145.3075,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-8074A3C161",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WW94QP1BN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $3.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $3.00: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.9634999999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 1263.7527,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-480143510D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-07Q0FRZF64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $2.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.80: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $2.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 328.8705,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-AC45396453",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4QDTNSX386",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.60",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $2.60 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.60: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $2.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 161.31640000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-CC5EEB8890",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JS6GT89S06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.40",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $2.40 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.40: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $2.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.8154,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-79D4AE1C9A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1142NYWHS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $2.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.20: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $2.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 111.2664,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-E75B5F0896",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F9KHWWLB06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be below $2.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.00: AAA reports the national average gas price on January 7, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether the metric meets the stated threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T06:25:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T06:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $2.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPlease note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 114.5496,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-D39BA76061",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "us",
        "us average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JCYZZK8QV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06T19:20:44.438537Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YC0V551YX4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}