{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
  "slug": "kxaaagasmintx-26dec31",
  "question": "Will gas prices in Texas drop below $2.00 per gallon this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "gas-prices",
    "texas-energy",
    "commodity-forecast",
    "2026",
    "price-minimum"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the AAA national average gas price falls below discrete strike thresholds by December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six binary strikes spanning $1.80 to $2.30, each resolved independently via Kalshi staff determination. Together the strikes form an implied probability distribution over the price range. AAA gas price data published January 7, 2027 is the authoritative resolution source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DYXM2YFC58",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.15,
    "implied_probability": 0.15
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DYXM2YFC58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMINTX-26DEC31-2.30",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.30 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.30: AAA national average gas price data on January 7, 2027 determines if the metric closes above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $2.30 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 229.5375,
      "volume_total_usd": 3882.6495,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-65A15610D2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1CZXVG5R53",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMINTX-26DEC31-2.20",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.20 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.20: AAA national average gas price data on January 7, 2027 determines if the metric closes above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $2.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2959.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1E873B27A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6XHVY796P7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMINTX-26DEC31-2.10",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.10 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.10: AAA national average gas price data on January 7, 2027 determines if the metric closes above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $2.10 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 311.58899999999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E1DFFDB16F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3S120TDS90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMINTX-26DEC31-2.00",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $2.00 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $2.00: AAA national average gas price data on January 7, 2027 determines if the metric closes above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $2.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.7144,
      "volume_total_usd": 984.714,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC5F0FF8E3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "texas",
        "texas average gas"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0JPSZ22KW9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMINTX-26DEC31-1.90",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $1.90 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $1.90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $1.90: AAA national average gas price data on January 7, 2027 determines if the metric closes above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $1.90 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "AAA",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 46.713800000000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 1691.3155000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-44FDF93683",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gas",
        "prices",
        "texas",
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SVZ0WLS403",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAAGASMINTX-26DEC31-1.80",
      "question": "Will average **gas prices** be above or below $1.80 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $1.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $1.80: AAA national average gas price data on January 7, 2027 determines if the metric closes above or below the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T14:55:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $1.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "AAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "AAA",
            "url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "last_price": 0.03,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 304.4406,
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      "question_id": "CMX-6BBEDFC94A",
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      "tags": [
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        "gas",
        "prices",
        "texas",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CW09RNM6T0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}