{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2TKXQG45L5",
  "slug": "kxaal-26octplf",
  "question": "American Airlines passenger load factor, October 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      85.5,
      86
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 83.5,
        "prob": 97
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      {
        "threshold": 84,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 84.5,
        "prob": 94
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      {
        "threshold": 85,
        "prob": 77
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        "prob": 59
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      {
        "threshold": 86,
        "prob": 40
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      {
        "threshold": 86.5,
        "prob": 29
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      {
        "threshold": 87,
        "prob": 22
      },
      {
        "threshold": 87.5,
        "prob": 18
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      {
        "threshold": 88,
        "prob": 4
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "american-airlines",
    "airline-operations",
    "passenger-load-factor",
    "q3-metrics",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track American Airlines Group's passenger load factor as reported in its Q3 2026 quarterly earnings filing. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete strike thresholds, ranging from 83.5% to 88%, each a binary yes/no against a fixed level. Reading the implied probability curve across strikes reveals the market's consensus distribution over the realized load factor. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, sourced directly from the company's official earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FKYZ4S5YL9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.4
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
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