{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGBV5ZHT84",
  "slug": "kxaaplceochange",
  "question": "Will Tim Cook leave Apple by 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "apple-ceo",
    "executive-transitions",
    "tech-leadership",
    "2026-resolution",
    "corporate-governance"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track Tim Cook's departure from Apple as CEO. The first asks whether he leaves before July 2026; the second asks whether he leaves at any point in 2026. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Apple's official communications. The near-term July threshold prices urgency; the full-year market prices the broader 2026 window.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GT1XYKVNF3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.95
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2X3RK820N3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGBV5ZHT84",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAAPLCEOCHANGE-JUL",
      "question": "Tim Cook leaves Apple before July, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July: Apple's official communications confirm whether the named executive departs before January 2, 2027, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-02T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tim Cook is no longer CEO of Apple before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Apple",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.apple.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Apple",
            "url": "https://www.apple.com",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BEEA07A1BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "apple",
        "ceo",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GT1XYKVNF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGBV5ZHT84",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXAAPLCEOCHANGE-26",
      "question": "Tim Cook leaves Apple in 2026?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before 2027: Apple's official communications confirm whether the named executive departs before January 2, 2027, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tim Cook is no longer CEO of Apple before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Apple",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.apple.com",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Apple",
            "url": "https://www.apple.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Apple",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EE72C51123",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "ceo",
        "tim cook",
        "tim cook departure"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2X3RK820N3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-02T22:38:04.49006Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CGBV5ZHT84",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}