{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JTHLZ00YV9",
  "slug": "kxabnb-26augneb",
  "question": "Will Airbnb bookings increase in Q2?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "airbnb",
    "q2-2026",
    "travel-hospitality",
    "booking-metrics",
    "earnings-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Airbnb's Q2 2026 nights and experiences booked, a key operating volume metric. Kalshi structures the event as a strike-threshold ladder, pricing the probability that reported bookings exceed each discrete level from 141 million to 156 million. The implied distribution across strikes lets traders read consensus expectations for the actual booking figure. Authoritative source is Airbnb's Q2 2026 earnings disclosure, with resolution by Kalshi staff determination on September 4, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YCKKHV2Y39",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-19VRPW0J03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JTHLZ00YV9",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXABNB-26AUGNEB-P141000000",
      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 141 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 141 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 141000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXABNB-26AUGNEB-P144000000",
      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 144 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 144 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 144000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 145 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 145 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 145000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "last_price": 0.82,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HGC61W4KH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JTHLZ00YV9",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXABNB-26AUGNEB-146000000",
      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 146 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 146 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 146 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 146000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JTHLZ00YV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXABNB-26AUGNEB-P147000000",
      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 147 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 147 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 147 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 147000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "threshold": 147000000,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TR66ZG0QK3",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXABNB-26AUGNEB-148000000",
      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 148 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 148 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 148 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 149 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 149 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXABNB-26AUGNEB-P150000000",
      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 150 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 150 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 150000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 153 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 153 million",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 153 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Airbnb Inc. reports above 153000000 nights & seats booked in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Airbnb Inc. report above 156 million nights & seats booked in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 156 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 nights and seats booked, disclosed in its earnings report by September 4, 2026, determines the outcome via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-B21CFA811C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airbnb",
        "airbnb nights and",
        "bookings",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JTHLZ00YV9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}