{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KTGK2ZS346",
  "slug": "kxacaext-26jan",
  "question": "Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "aca-healthcare",
    "us-federal-legislation",
    "tax-credits",
    "healthcare-policy",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether legislation extending enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits becomes law by January 2027. The credits, first expanded under the American Rescue Plan, have faced repeated congressional renewal deadlines. Kalshi staff determination resolves the contract based on whether qualifying legislation is enacted. No cross-platform structural contrast applies; only one market is listed here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5V92168B63",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5V92168B63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KTGK2ZS346",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACAEXT-26JAN-27",
      "question": "Will legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether legislation extending or reinstating enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification (11/14/25): Any extension that continues the enhanced premium tax credits past this year qualifies for a Yes resolution, regardless of modifications to the extension's structure. This would include extensions that reduce the subsidy amounts or modify eligibility criteria. An extension of the credits for any length of time beyond the current expiration date is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 18955.0992,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "aca",
        "aca premium tax",
        "healthcare",
        "legislation",
        "tax credits"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KTGK2ZS346",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}