{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
  "slug": "kxacqannounceannual-27jan01",
  "question": "Which companies will be acquired this year?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "mergers-and-acquisitions",
    "corporate-finance",
    "deal-completion",
    "2027",
    "multi-company"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether named companies receive acquisition announcements before January 1, 2027. Targets span sectors including technology, energy, entertainment, and consumer brands. All markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination using SEC filings and public announcements as authoritative sources. Note that announcement, not closing, is the resolution trigger.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SRVLJR3QL3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GVBQYMTT44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYCAES",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Caesars Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Caesars Entertainment",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Caesars Entertainment: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Caesars Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-84CA42FE26",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-V32SRJZVV6",
          "price": 0.999
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "caesars entertainment",
        "casino",
        "hospitality"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V7DHQ877M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYEBAY",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "eBay",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "eBay: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 298.998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0C4E3FDFC6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ebay",
        "ecommerce",
        "marketplace"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-62PMLGTK02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPAYP",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "PayPal",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "PayPal: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire PayPal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.56,
      "implied_probability": 0.56,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4560.5616,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3AD718FB98",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-YBB149HD44",
          "price": 0.6
        },
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-54X8T9JD18",
          "price": 0.301
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "fintech",
        "payments",
        "paypal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HRL0VC5RP2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYMAGN",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Magnum Ice Cream Company",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Magnum Ice Cream Company: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 170.6418,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-15FF153FB4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "consumer goods",
        "food",
        "magnum ice cream"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCJ03QZPX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSENT",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of SentinelOne before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "SentinelOne",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "SentinelOne: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire SentinelOne before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 155.9178,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D9A387F41F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cybersecurity",
        "sentinelone",
        "software"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-24CP6WJ209",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYUBER",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Uber before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Uber",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Uber: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Uber before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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        "grade": "C",
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          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 13.3736,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-05850F66F6",
      "also_on": null,
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        "logistics",
        "rideshare",
        "uber"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S1PNYY6LH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYVIKI",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Viking Therapeutics",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Viking Therapeutics: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D3AF90A400",
      "also_on": [
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          "venue": "polymarket",
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          "price": 0.15
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "biotech",
        "pharma",
        "viking therapeutics"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W0ZX07LT16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYNEBI",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Nebius  before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Nebius",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nebius: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Nebius before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.06,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 163.6968,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CDAA24326D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cloud",
        "infrastructure",
        "nebius"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SRVLJR3QL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPIZZ",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Pizza Hut before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Pizza Hut",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Pizza Hut: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-25T13:06:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Pizza Hut before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
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      "volume_total_usd": 7557.59,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-031DE25B1A",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-D6GDN9LTC7",
          "price": 0.999
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "food",
        "pizza hut",
        "restaurants"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZ2DHTYTV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSNAP",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Snap before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Snap",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Snap: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Snap before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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      "volume_total_usd": 901.6919,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BD9A225010",
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        "social media",
        "tech"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XN2HY0NJT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYZOOM",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Zoom before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Zoom",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Zoom: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Zoom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
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      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2027?",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of GitLab before Jan 1, 2027?",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYOPEN",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYANTH",
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "tags": [
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYFIGM",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Figma before Jan 1, 2027?",
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        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Figma before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "The Guardian",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BD154B8C6",
      "also_on": null,
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        "design",
        "figma",
        "software"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QMTVHD7HG5",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYELEV",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of ElevenLabs before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "ElevenLabs: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire ElevenLabs before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
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        "ai",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4X65R8YQ94",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSIX",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Six Flags Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Six Flags Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "amusement",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYUNIV",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Universal Music Group before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Universal Music Group before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "grade": "C",
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      "volume_total_usd": 98.6958,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-56E569B137",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "media",
        "music",
        "universal music group"
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPYMB85Q38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYCORD",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Cordis before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Cordis before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4A4A34C0E1",
      "also_on": null,
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        "healthcare",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S8Z57QD7S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSPIR",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Spire Healthcare before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Spire Healthcare: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Spire Healthcare before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.sec.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 380.142,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F175588E09",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "healthcare",
        "hospitals",
        "spire healthcare"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CFKKN8G820",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPINT",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Pinterest",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Pinterest: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-90E3B81C1A",
      "also_on": [
        {
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          "price": 0.023
        }
      ],
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        "pinterest",
        "social media",
        "tech"
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        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8CB9GZ8CK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYDELI",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Delivery Hero before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Delivery Hero before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
            "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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      "volume_total_usd": 4036.84,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2E8A22ED74",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "delivery hero",
        "food delivery",
        "logistics"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYORNN",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Ornn before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Ornn before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Bloomberg",
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          {
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            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C93E7AE095",
      "also_on": null,
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        "ornn"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VVLFDN68D1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYMGM",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of MGM Resorts before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "MGM Resorts: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire MGM Resorts before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P5ZBXDK8X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYBFB",
      "question": "Will any company announce acquisition of Brown-Forman before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brown-Forman: Securities and Exchange Commission filings and public announcements determine whether any entity announces acquisition of the listed company before January 1, 2027, resolved by Kalshi staff.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Brown-Forman before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8CB9GZ8CK8",
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      "deadline_at": null,
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}