{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHP8S06T65",
  "slug": "kxaipause-27",
  "question": "Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
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    "ai-safety",
    "ai-research",
    "corporate-ethics",
    "tech-regulation",
    "2027"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether any major AI company publicly announces a research pause for safety reasons before January 1, 2027. Resolution rests on Kalshi staff determination of a qualifying public announcement. No cross-platform contrast exists; only a single Kalshi binary is listed. The absence of a defined company list is a key resolution caveat.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q8TGX55FK7",
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    "implied_probability": 0.09
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q8TGX55FK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHP8S06T65",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIPAUSE-27",
      "question": "Will any of the major AI companies pause research before 2027?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether any major AI company publicly announces a pause in AI research before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any of xAI, DeepMind, Anthropic, OpenAI pause any AI research training or development for safety reasons before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 53,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.743,
      "volume_total_usd": 4909.8429,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D048CEEC92",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "major ai companies",
        "research pause",
        "safety"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZHP8S06T65",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}