{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
  "slug": "kxairfarecpi-26aug12",
  "question": "Will the US airline fares Consumer Price Index increase for July?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-inflation",
    "airline-fares",
    "cpi-index",
    "2026",
    "economic-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares, U.S. City Average, for July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as 19 discrete strike-threshold contracts, each asking whether the index will print above a specific level from 304 to 322. The implied market distribution emerges from the spread of probabilities across those strikes. Kalshi staff determination resolves all contracts against the BLS release expected around August 19, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CTTVRKWPD7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44B0G8C1W9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T304",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 304ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 304ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 304ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 304ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 156.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 304,
      "question_id": "CMX-77A11F3F53",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DFJYBZYKC7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T305",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 305ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 305ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 305ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 305ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 297.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 305,
      "question_id": "CMX-8F431644F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-601YKLQV10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T306",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 306ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 306ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 306ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 306ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 898.07,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 306,
      "question_id": "CMX-FDB3FE4CDA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N79HJT3BD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T307",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 307ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 307ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 307ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 307ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1222.59,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 307,
      "question_id": "CMX-B62732C440",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J23CGML9Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T308",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 308ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 308ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 308ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 308ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 353.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 308,
      "question_id": "CMX-89CAECEE02",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CTTVRKWPD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T309",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 309ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 309ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 309ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 309ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1298.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 309,
      "question_id": "CMX-8431A4A9A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQ043YG9K5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T310",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 310ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 310ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 310ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 838.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 310,
      "question_id": "CMX-8258768C9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCR0CXHXJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T311",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 311ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 311ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 311ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 311ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 448.22,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 311,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA9AEC0D76",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JF38BG6K41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T312",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 312ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 312ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 312ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 312ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 385.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 312,
      "question_id": "CMX-FB497E309A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6CY19NQ31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T313",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 313ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 313ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 313ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 313ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.7,
      "implied_probability": 0.7,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 570.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 313,
      "question_id": "CMX-385EBB77AE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GH04H5J403",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T314",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 314ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 314ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 314ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 314ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 335.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 314,
      "question_id": "CMX-BA082C2679",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QF508683H0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T315",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 315ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 315ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 315ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 315ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 281.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 315,
      "question_id": "CMX-A96ADD5D18",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7F93QNHK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T316",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 316ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 316ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 316ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 316ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 145.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 316,
      "question_id": "CMX-C0D5D9A241",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S685R44G86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T317",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 317ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 317ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 317ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 317ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 179.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 317,
      "question_id": "CMX-8C313E46CE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "us airline fares"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H6S8TRHM27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T318",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 318ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 318ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 318ㅤ: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026, published by August 19, 2026, determines outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 318ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.\n\n",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T321",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 321ㅤ?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 321, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T322",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 322?",
      "description": "Above 322",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 322, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XNZMQW0XX2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}