{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
  "slug": "kxairfarecpi-26jun10",
  "question": "Airline fares CPI for all urban consumers, May 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      306,
      308
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 294,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 296,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 298,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 302,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 304,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 306,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 308,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 310,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 312,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 314,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-inflation",
    "airline-fares",
    "cpi-components",
    "economic-data",
    "may-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [
    "cpi",
    "jobs",
    "gdp",
    "fomc"
  ],
  "catalyst_dates": [
    {
      "date": "2026-06-05",
      "type": "jobs",
      "label": "Employment Situation",
      "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/ces/"
    }
  ],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI component for airline fares in the U.S. city average for May 2026. All eleven contracts are Kalshi-listed and price discrete index level thresholds, collectively spanning the probable outcome range. Together they form a synthetic probability distribution over the realized print. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination upon the BLS release, expected by June 17, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TPMQK59GX0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PB0FHXX982",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T294.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 294.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 294.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 294.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 445.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 294,
      "question_id": "CMX-C08E08C8E0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-89XF5KR474",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T296.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 296.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 296.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 296.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3364.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 296,
      "question_id": "CMX-5BF2EEBD5D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6F1ZHDL14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T298.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 298.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 298.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 298.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3390.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 298,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A3122BC34",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QV3LHT4M79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T300.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 300.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 300.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 300.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4347.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300,
      "question_id": "CMX-C2D6C0CF20",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RFDVRW7461",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T302.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 302.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 302.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1076.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 302,
      "question_id": "CMX-E1E796A1E3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5XXPJDWF88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T304.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 304.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 304.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 678.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 304,
      "question_id": "CMX-A766A4EB61",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CTP8WJ4WX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T306.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 306.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 306.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 306.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 836.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 306,
      "question_id": "CMX-E50E70A1BD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TPMQK59GX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T308.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 308.0ㅤ?",
      "description": "Above 308.0ㅤ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 308.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 189.07,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 308,
      "question_id": "CMX-D316402B78",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "airline",
        "airline fares cpi",
        "cpi",
        "fares",
        "may-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-863J1WMWH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LRHXKJ8DC8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAIRFARECPI-26JUN10-T310.0",
      "question": "Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 310.0ㅤ?",
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}