{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MCTG7XWR4",
  "slug": "kxaispike-27",
  "question": "Will there be significant AI capability growth this year?",
  "category": "technology",
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  "tags": [
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  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether any AI model reaches discrete Elo score thresholds on the LM Arena Leaderboard before January 1, 2027. The eight Kalshi contracts form a strike ladder from 1520 to 1750, pricing the probability of each successive capability level. Higher-strike contracts are structurally subordinate: a 1700 resolution requires clearing every lower threshold first. Kalshi staff determination is the resolution mechanism for all contracts.",
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  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027",
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      "question": "Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027",
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      "question": "Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-0MCTG7XWR4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}