{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
  "slug": "kxakprimary-26may19",
  "question": "Will the AK-AL primary advance by the next general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "alaska-election",
    "primary-runoff",
    "us-politics",
    "2028",
    "top-four-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, where the top four vote-getters advance to the general election runoff. Each Kalshi binary prices one named candidate's qualification odds independently. Kalshi staff determination relies on Alaska's official election authority certifying final ranked results. Because all five markets are structured identically, there is no cross-platform directional contrast to note here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SFKYT6SBZ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.67,
    "implied_probability": 0.67
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B3Y357M2F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-NBEG",
      "question": "Will Nicholas Begich qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?",
      "description": "Nicholas Begich",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nicholas Begich: Alaska's official election authority certifies the named candidate's ranking in the top four of the 2026 primary by August 18, 2027, determining runoff qualification.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nicholas Begich advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 112.3056,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "alaska",
        "nicholas begich",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQLD6LKH70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-BHIL",
      "question": "Will Bill Hill qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?",
      "description": "Bill Hill",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Hill: Alaska's official election authority certifies the named candidate's ranking in the top four of the 2026 primary by August 18, 2027, determining runoff qualification.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Hill advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2051.6955,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "alaska",
        "bill hill",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SFKYT6SBZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MSCH",
      "question": "Will Matthew Schultz qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?",
      "description": "Matthew Schultz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Matthew Schultz: Alaska's official election authority certifies the named candidate's ranking in the top four of the 2026 primary by August 18, 2027, determining runoff qualification.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Matthew Schultz advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2084.9127000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "alaska",
        "matthew schultz",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-749MGXT1P8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-MWIL",
      "question": "Will Matthew Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?",
      "description": "Matthew Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Matthew Williams: Alaska's official election authority certifies the named candidate's ranking in the top four of the 2026 primary by August 18, 2027, determining runoff qualification.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Matthew Williams advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 352.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "alaska",
        "matthew williams",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZZQ0XLVD17",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-JWIL",
      "question": "Will John Brendan Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?",
      "description": "John Brendan Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Brendan Williams: Alaska's official election authority certifies the named candidate's ranking in the top four of the 2026 primary by August 18, 2027, determining runoff qualification.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Brendan Williams advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.61,
      "implied_probability": 0.61,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 606.8218999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "alaska",
        "john brendan williams",
        "primary"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FD44Z12859",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}