{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-09C696KZH3",
  "slug": "kxaksengovcombo-26nov",
  "question": "Alaska Governor-Senate combo",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "alaska-politics",
    "governor-senate-combo",
    "2026-elections",
    "us-state-races",
    "partisan-outcomes"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the combined partisan outcome of Alaska's 2027 gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races. All four Kalshi markets cover mutually exclusive party-combination scenarios: Democrat-Democrat, Democrat-Republican, Republican-Democrat, and Republican-Republican sweeps. Together they form a exhaustive probability matrix over two concurrent statewide contests. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination of the certified winner in each race.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0MYGJR8Z10",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.25,
    "implied_probability": 0.25
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VY91BCVHR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09C696KZH3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM",
      "question": "Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?",
      "description": "Democrats sweep",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats sweep: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate from the Republican party wins the gubernatorial race and the named candidate from the Democratic party wins the Senate race, resolved by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Alaska Governor winner: Democratic party, Alaska Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alaska Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Alaska Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 185,
      "volume_total_usd": 1385.65,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "alaska governor and",
        "democrat",
        "governor",
        "senate",
        "sweep"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1JJ7M8VVC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09C696KZH3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP",
      "question": "Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?",
      "description": "Democratic Governor, Republican Senator",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic Governor, Republican Senator: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate from the Republican party wins the gubernatorial race and the named candidate from the Democratic party wins the Senate race, resolved by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Alaska Governor winner: Democratic party, Alaska Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alaska Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Alaska Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 202.95100000000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "alaska governor and",
        "democrat",
        "governor",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0MYGJR8Z10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09C696KZH3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM",
      "question": "Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?",
      "description": "Republican Governor, Democratic Senator",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican Governor, Democratic Senator: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate from the Republican party wins the gubernatorial race and the named candidate from the Democratic party wins the Senate race, resolved by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Alaska Governor winner: Republican party, Alaska Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alaska Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Alaska Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 250,
      "volume_total_usd": 3314.245,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "alaska governor and",
        "democrat",
        "governor",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-339ZBMVC12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09C696KZH3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAKSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP",
      "question": "Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?",
      "description": "Republicans sweep",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republicans sweep: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate from the Republican party wins the gubernatorial race and the named candidate from the Democratic party wins the Senate race, resolved by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Alaska Governor winner: Republican party, Alaska Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alaska Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Alaska Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 354.54999999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 2951.3154999999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "alaska governor and",
        "governor",
        "republican",
        "senate",
        "sweep"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-09C696KZH3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}