{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
  "slug": "kxalk-26octplf",
  "question": "Alaska Air Group passenger load factor, October 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      84,
      84.5
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 82,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 82.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 83,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 83.5,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 84,
        "prob": 75
      },
      {
        "threshold": 84.5,
        "prob": 49
      },
      {
        "threshold": 85,
        "prob": 33
      },
      {
        "threshold": 85.5,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 86,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 86.5,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 87,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "alaska-air",
    "passenger-load-factor",
    "q3-2026",
    "airline-operations",
    "financial-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Alaska Air Group's passenger load factor for Q3 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds from 82% to 87%, each pricing whether the reported figure clears that level. The spread of implied probabilities across strikes functions as a synthetic distribution of the expected load factor outcome. Kalshi staff determination via Fiscal.ai is the resolution mechanism, referencing Alaska Air Group's official quarterly disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-35Z52M0K67",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.49,
    "implied_probability": 0.49
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HMPVQ94GD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-82.0",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 82% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 82%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 82%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 82.0% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4172.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": "CMX-8E309C3988",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FJMGW7GDC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-82.5",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 82.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 82.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 82.5%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 82.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1153.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 82.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-586B5264BD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PQ9LLZLQJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-83.0",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 83% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 83%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 83%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 83.0% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 512.69,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 83,
      "question_id": "CMX-E82397FCC3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZYVGWCXMW1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-83.5",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 83.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 83.5%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1856.56,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 83.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-821B85F7F4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VJ70Q0ZG27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-84.0",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 84%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 84%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 84.0% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "volume_24h_usd": 294.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 4309.47,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 84,
      "question_id": "CMX-8CCF98D126",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-35Z52M0K67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-84.5",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 84.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 84.5%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 44.54,
      "volume_total_usd": 2165.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 84.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-D78C023ABC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SCHPHH2M91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-85.0",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 85% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 85%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 85%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 85.0% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 297.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85,
      "question_id": "CMX-CB6EAA90B4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6BXVKW3FY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-85.5",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 85.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 85.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 85.5%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 85.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-C316632284",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C69CYDWZT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-86.0",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 86% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 86%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 86%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 86.0% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 45.57,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": "CMX-8F26581D8C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4GL9ZY64L2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-86.5",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 86.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 86.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 86.5%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 86.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 51.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 86.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E7734540C2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2JJL3N8N03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXALK-26OCTPLF-87.0",
      "question": "Will Alaska Air Group Inc. report Above 87% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 87%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 87%: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's reported passenger load factor in Q3 2026, via Fiscal.ai, resolves by 2027-02-19.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-19T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 87.0% passenger load factor in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 87,
      "question_id": "CMX-E862CDA178",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska air",
        "alaska air group",
        "passenger load factor",
        "q3 2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-44S6K6XSH8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}