{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
  "slug": "kxamzna-28janhead",
  "question": "Amazon full-time employees, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1550000,
      1575000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1500000,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1525000,
        "prob": 86
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1550000,
        "prob": 77
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1575000,
        "prob": 40
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1600000,
        "prob": 26
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "amazon-headcount",
    "employment-metrics",
    "corporate-workforce",
    "annual-reporting",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Amazon's full-time and part-time employee count disclosed in its 2026 annual report or 10-K filing. Kalshi structures the event as five ascending strike thresholds: 1,500,000; 1,525,000; 1,550,000; 1,575,000; and 1,600,000 employees. Each binary contract prices the probability that reported headcount clears that specific level. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against Amazon's official SEC filing.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XM3GWJ06V9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.48,
    "implied_probability": 0.48,
    "as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YY9MC7F0J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1500000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1500000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1500000: The listed company's official employee count disclosure in its 2026 annual report or 10-K filing, as verified by Fiscal.ai, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T19:00:47.588Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6295.7346,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2BB8719286",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDN9XCNJY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1525000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1525000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1525000: The listed company's official employee count disclosure in its 2026 annual report or 10-K filing, as verified by Fiscal.ai, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5380.8804,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1525000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C256FA82F4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WLB7LT1RZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1550000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1550000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1550000: The listed company's official employee count disclosure in its 2026 annual report or 10-K filing, as verified by Fiscal.ai, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 84.7264,
      "volume_total_usd": 4539.012699999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1550000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7349FB046",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XM3GWJ06V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1575000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1575000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1575000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1575000: The listed company's official employee count disclosure in its 2026 annual report or 10-K filing, as verified by Fiscal.ai, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1575000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.217600000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 4325.270399999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1575000,
      "question_id": "CMX-01212E4165",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QSTVM9RZZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1600000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1600000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1600000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1600000: The listed company's official employee count disclosure in its 2026 annual report or 10-K filing, as verified by Fiscal.ai, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1600000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1342.6476000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB4759A504",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}