{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
  "slug": "kxamzna-28janhead",
  "question": "Amazon.com, Inc. report Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1550000,
      1575000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1500000,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1525000,
        "prob": 92
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1550000,
        "prob": 79
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1575000,
        "prob": 41
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1600000,
        "prob": 30
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "amazon-headcount",
    "employment-metrics",
    "corporate-workforce",
    "annual-reporting",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Amazon's reported full-time and part-time headcount, excluding contractors. Kalshi structures the event as five discrete strike thresholds: 1.50M, 1.525M, 1.55M, 1.575M, and 1.60M employees. Together they form an implied probability distribution over Amazon's 2026 workforce size. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination using Amazon's official SEC-filed employee disclosures, settling by March 2028.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XM3GWJ06V9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.41,
    "implied_probability": 0.41
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YY9MC7F0J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1500000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1500000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1500000: The listed company's full-time and part-time employee count, excluding contractors and temporary personnel, as reported in its 2026 annual disclosure by March 31, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5924.7072,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2BB8719286",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDN9XCNJY3",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1525000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1525000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1525000: The listed company's full-time and part-time employee count, excluding contractors and temporary personnel, as reported in its 2026 annual disclosure by March 31, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5875.6996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1525000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C256FA82F4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WLB7LT1RZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1550000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1550000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1550000: The listed company's full-time and part-time employee count, excluding contractors and temporary personnel, as reported in its 2026 annual disclosure by March 31, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3562.6821999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1550000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7349FB046",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XM3GWJ06V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1575000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1575000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1575000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1575000: The listed company's full-time and part-time employee count, excluding contractors and temporary personnel, as reported in its 2026 annual disclosure by March 31, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1575000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
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      "volume_total_usd": 2857.7738,
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      "threshold": 1575000,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon",
        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QSTVM9RZZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAMZNA-28JANHEAD-1600000",
      "question": "Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1600000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1600000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1600000: The listed company's full-time and part-time employee count, excluding contractors and temporary personnel, as reported in its 2026 annual disclosure by March 31, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon.com, Inc. reports above 1600000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Amazon.com, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB4759A504",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "amazon headcount",
        "employment",
        "headcount"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-H1RM2B2RT0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}