{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5STKPS9WD4",
  "slug": "kxannarbormayord-26",
  "question": "Will the Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary be held before August 4, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-election",
    "ann-arbor-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "mayoral-race",
    "michigan-local"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary. Both are Kalshi binary contracts, each pricing a named candidate's probability of winning. The two contracts are complementary: one prices Christopher Taylor, the other prices Yousef Rabhi. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using official results certified by the relevant county clerk.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JQ7KFXT0D0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.79,
    "implied_probability": 0.79
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQ7KFXT0D0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5STKPS9WD4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXANNARBORMAYORD-26-CTAY",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary?",
      "description": "Christopher Taylor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christopher Taylor: The named candidate's performance in the referenced election is determined by the relevant county clerk or board of elections official results, with resolution by August 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Christopher Taylor wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 261.5374,
      "volume_total_usd": 5715.0575,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ann arbor",
        "christopher taylor",
        "democratic primary",
        "mayor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7DS6PSWD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5STKPS9WD4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXANNARBORMAYORD-26-YRAB",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary?",
      "description": "Yousef Rabhi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yousef Rabhi: The named candidate's performance in the referenced election is determined by the relevant county clerk or board of elections official results, with resolution by August 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Yousef Rabhi wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.2748,
      "volume_total_usd": 843.9984,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ann arbor",
        "democratic primary",
        "mayor",
        "yousef rabhi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5STKPS9WD4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}