{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NQQNC9S0P9",
  "slug": "kxanydemwintexas-26nov03",
  "question": "Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "texas-politics",
    "2026-elections",
    "statewide-races",
    "democrat-performance",
    "binary-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether any Democrat wins a statewide office in Texas in the November 2026 general election. The single Kalshi market prices a binary yes/no outcome via Kalshi staff determination of certified Texas election results. Texas has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994, making this a long-odds proposition. Resolution is set for November 2, 2027, allowing time for official canvassing and certification.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WRXD4P8DB5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.48,
    "implied_probability": 0.48
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WRXD4P8DB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NQQNC9S0P9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXANYDEMWINTEXAS-26NOV03",
      "question": "Will the number of Democrats who win a statewide election in Texas in 2026 be above 0?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of statewide election results in Texas following the November 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win the election for any statewide office in Texas (including U.S. Senate, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Comptroller of Public Accounts, Commissioner of General Land Office, Commissioner of Agriculture, Railroad Commissioner, any seat on the Texas Supreme Court, any seat on Texas Court of Criminal Appeals, and any other office that is voted on by all counties in Texas) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses ELECTION to determine election winners and is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Source Agencies are",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ELECTION",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5076.599999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democrats",
        "democrats statewide election",
        "statewide election",
        "texas"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NQQNC9S0P9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}