{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
  "slug": "kxaprpotus-26jun05",
  "question": "Will Trump's approval rating be above 50% on June 5, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "approval-rating",
    "trump",
    "2026",
    "realclearpolitics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track President Trump's RealClearPolitics average approval rating on June 5, 2026. RealClearPolitics calculates the figure as a simple average of all polls on their site. Kalshi structures the event as discrete 0.3-point range tiers, from below 39.0 to above 40.7. All markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the published RealClearPolitics average.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V3HCZ0R121",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C18TYGSHZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-39.0",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be below 39.0 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "Below 39.0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "RealClearPolitics publishes the President's approval rating, measured as the simple average of all polls listed on their approval rating tracker page as of June 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is below 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "realclearpolling.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 73.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 278.05,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 39,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "trump approval rating"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXXGTHQ9K8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-39.1",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.2 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "39.0 to 39.2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "RealClearPolitics publishes the President's approval rating, measured as the simple average of all polls listed on their approval rating tracker page as of June 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is between 39.0 and 39.2% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "realclearpolling.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating",
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        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 57.72,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 39.2,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WHNSZG16W4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-39.4",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be between 39.3 and 39.5 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "39.3 to 39.5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "RealClearPolitics publishes the President's approval rating, measured as the simple average of all polls listed on their approval rating tracker page as of June 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is between 39.3 and 39.5% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "realclearpolling.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 93.38,
      "volume_total_usd": 612.07,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 39.5,
      "question_id": null,
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        "realclearpolitics",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNWJ4TBHX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-39.7",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be between 39.6 and 39.8 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "39.6 to 39.8",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "RealClearPolitics publishes the President's approval rating, measured as the simple average of all polls listed on their approval rating tracker page as of June 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "realclearpolling.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 235.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 1264.67,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 39.8,
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        "realclearpolitics",
        "trump approval rating"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V3HCZ0R121",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-40.0",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be between 39.9 and 40.1 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "39.9 to 40.1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "RealClearPolitics publishes the President's approval rating, measured as the simple average of all polls listed on their approval rating tracker page as of June 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "realclearpolling.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating",
        "sources": null,
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        "score": 88,
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-40.3",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be between 40.2 and 40.4 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "40.2 to 40.4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "realclearpolling.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "last_price": 1,
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "KXAPRPOTUS-26JUN05-40.6",
      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.7 according to RealClearPolitics?",
      "description": "40.5 to 40.7",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 225.47,
      "volume_total_usd": 516.21,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question": "Will the President's approval rating be above 40.7 according to RealClearPolitics?",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President's approval rating is above 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on June 05, 2026.",
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    },
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
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    },
    {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V28F7JQ712",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-05T15:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1GVBVX00V1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}