{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
  "slug": "kxarrest-27jan",
  "question": "Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "arrest-2026",
    "political-figure",
    "us-politics",
    "criminal-justice",
    "prediction-market"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether named political figures will be formally arrested before January 2027. All 24 contracts are binary yes/no questions resolved by Kalshi staff determination, requiring a confirmed arrest report from the jurisdictionally competent law enforcement agency. Resolution depends on official agency reporting, not media coverage or indictment. No cross-platform structural difference applies here, as all markets share a single platform and mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5WJBPN4D49",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QCXFX71JJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXARREST-27JAN-GNEW",
      "question": "Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "Gavin Newsom",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gavin Newsom: Law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the arrest location reports an arrest of the named individual by January 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.0565,
      "volume_total_usd": 2204.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "gavin newsom",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N2FM38JRD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXARREST-27JAN-LJUN",
      "question": "Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "Lee Jun-seok",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lee Jun-seok: Law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the arrest location reports an arrest of the named individual by January 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.061,
      "implied_probability": 0.061,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 204.80322999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lee jun seok",
        "politician",
        "south korea"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FN6WW6SK00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXARREST-27JAN-BCLIN",
      "question": "Will Bill Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "Bill Clinton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Clinton: Law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the arrest location reports an arrest of the named individual by January 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.047,
      "implied_probability": 0.047,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.697510000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 1942.84088,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bill clinton",
        "former president",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDNSZ29132",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU",
      "question": "Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "Anthony Fauci",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthony Fauci: Law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the arrest location reports an arrest of the named individual by January 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 108.18780000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 23784.349400000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "anthony fauci",
        "health",
        "public official"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L0RC02FPY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXARREST-27JAN-BOM",
      "question": "Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "Barack Obama",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Barack Obama: Law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the arrest location reports an arrest of the named individual by January 1, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Barack Obama is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.6999999999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 9187.465189999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "barack obama",
        "former president",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TP6HLV5DD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T101LW9G50",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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