{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
  "slug": "kxaxpa-27febhead",
  "question": "Will American Express' headcount be at a specific level in fiscal 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "american-express",
    "headcount",
    "corporate-employment",
    "fiscal-2026",
    "financial-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track American Express Company's total employee headcount as disclosed in its fiscal 2026 annual report or SEC filings. Kalshi structures the event as seven discrete strike thresholds, from 71 thousand to 77 thousand, each a binary above-or-below contract. The implied distribution across strikes lets traders price a headcount range, not a single outcome. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination against the authoritative American Express filing, expected by May 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-416D9N2Y47",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.78,
    "implied_probability": 0.78
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LKPKWW4FX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-71000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 71 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 71 thousand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 71 thousand: American Express Company's fiscal 2026 headcount as reported in its annual report or SEC filings, verified by Kalshi staff determination by May 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 71000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 71000,
      "question_id": "CMX-81F4C12B69",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "american express headcount",
        "axp",
        "employees",
        "fiscal2026",
        "headcount"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-72000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 72 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 72 thousand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 72 thousand: American Express Company's fiscal 2026 headcount as reported in its annual report or SEC filings, verified by Kalshi staff determination by May 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 72000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 86,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B93E7EEAA3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "american express headcount",
        "axp",
        "employees",
        "fiscal2026",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DFK26NYCQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-73000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 73 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 73 thousand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 73 thousand: American Express Company's fiscal 2026 headcount as reported in its annual report or SEC filings, verified by Kalshi staff determination by May 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 73000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_type": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 43.51,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 73000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1ED56CF9AC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "american express headcount",
        "axp",
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        "fiscal2026",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-55P2Q8RQZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-74000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 74 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 74 thousand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 74 thousand: American Express Company's fiscal 2026 headcount as reported in its annual report or SEC filings, verified by Kalshi staff determination by May 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 74000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1284.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D7E0ABD72A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "american express headcount",
        "axp",
        "employees",
        "fiscal2026",
        "headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T9HZBV39Q9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-75000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 75 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 75 thousand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 75 thousand: American Express Company's fiscal 2026 headcount as reported in its annual report or SEC filings, verified by Kalshi staff determination by May 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-14T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 75000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2180.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 75000,
      "question_id": "CMX-74C2FCBFA5",
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      "tags": [
        "american express headcount",
        "axp",
        "employees",
        "fiscal2026",
        "headcount"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-416D9N2Y47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3NBT3HM1Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-76000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 76 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 76 thousand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 76 thousand: American Express Company's fiscal 2026 headcount as reported in its annual report or SEC filings, verified by Kalshi staff determination by May 14, 2027.",
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        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 76000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXAXPA-27FEBHEAD-77000",
      "question": "Will American Express Company report Above 77 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If American Express Company reports Above 77000 headcount in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in American Express Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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