{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CT1HTT0M9",
  "slug": "kxaz5r-26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Arizona's 5th Congressional District be determined by August 31, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "arizona-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "us-house",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary nominee for Arizona's 5th Congressional District. Each Kalshi contract prices one candidate's probability of securing the official party nomination. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination of Republican Party nominee designation by August 31, 2026. The four contracts are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive across the named field.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9L5JKXG06",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.85,
    "implied_probability": 0.85
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RDCYP918R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CT1HTT0M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAZ5R-26-TGRA",
      "question": "Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-5?",
      "description": "Travis Grantham",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Travis Grantham: Kalshi staff determination of Republican Party official nominee designation by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Travis Grantham wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-5 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 28.123820000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "az-5",
        "candidate",
        "nominee",
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        "travis grantham"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9L5JKXG06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CT1HTT0M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAZ5R-26-MLAM",
      "question": "Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-5?",
      "description": "Mark Lamb",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Lamb: Kalshi staff determination of Republican Party official nominee designation by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Lamb wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-5 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.85,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 629.918,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MPYYGDB880",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CT1HTT0M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAZ5R-26-JFEE",
      "question": "Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-5?",
      "description": "Jay Feely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jay Feely: Kalshi staff determination of Republican Party official nominee designation by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jay Feely wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-5 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
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      "last_price": 0.018,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y732G5XR56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CT1HTT0M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXAZ5R-26-DKEE",
      "question": "Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-5?",
      "description": "Daniel Keenan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Daniel Keenan: Kalshi staff determination of Republican Party official nominee designation by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Daniel Keenan wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-5 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        "grade": "A",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 192.6678,
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      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8CT1HTT0M9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}