{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
  "slug": "kxb200ms-26nov",
  "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-b200",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "compute-hardware",
    "november-2026",
    "commodity-price"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the monthly average hourly compute price of the NVIDIA B200 GPU in November 2026. Kalshi structures the event as nine binary strike thresholds ranging from $3.00 to $7.00 per hour, each resolved independently. Together they imply a market-derived probability distribution over the rate level. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, based on observed compute pricing data for the named product.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6Q1G2XHRS5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.81,
    "implied_probability": 0.81
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6Q1G2XHRS5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-3.00",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.00: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5607.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D26D26DA9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-28KB8D3V62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-3.50",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.50: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 602.7824,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-0C4D1ECFE9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HYYB9WGXR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-4.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.00: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 119.0943,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-358D90367E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MYL55GSGK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-4.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.50: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 74.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-A4141D9E87",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNXPWWQ1G8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-5.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 752.628,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E898BB923B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T8LCRND366",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-5.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.50: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1063.854,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-C27C102EA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8M9X9P2848",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-6.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 301.4048,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-E26321ACBA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RKQPG8ZWF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-6.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.50: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 369.245,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-C2726EA963",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZXLK10Q7X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG55LPZ6X5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26NOV-7.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.00: Kalshi staff determination of the named product's monthly average compute price in November 2026, based on Ornn dashboard data, by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 941,
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}