{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
  "slug": "kxb200ms-26sep",
  "question": "What will be the average hourly price of NVIDIA B200 in September?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-b200",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "september-2026",
    "hardware-costs",
    "financial-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the monthly average hourly compute price of NVIDIA's B200 GPU in September 2026. Kalshi structures the event as eight discrete strike thresholds ranging from $3.00 to $7.00 per hour, each resolving as a binary. Together they imply a market-derived probability distribution over the B200's realized average price. Kalshi staff determines resolution using Ornn's dashboard as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7ZZFL03LK6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.87,
    "implied_probability": 0.87
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7ZZFL03LK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-3.00",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.00: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1820.91,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-5AB50D7E06",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G2P603KLK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-3.50",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.50: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 292.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-3DD5486BE4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JNG1TDGZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-4.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.00: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 893,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-057889FFA8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1524XWGX32",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-4.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.50: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 528.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-C2E330EFAB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLR4BQTSZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-5.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 334.33,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-9808635082",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RFTBK4PLZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-5.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.50: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 546,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-4682F855E5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DSWXXQSVW8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-6.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 251.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-4DF932C343",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1MT3K3YPW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-6.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.50: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 186.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-69881466B6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-40ZRMNQN75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-26SEP-7.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in September 2026?",
      "description": "Above $7.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.00: Kalshi staff determines resolution using the monthly average compute price from Ornn's dashboard for September 2026, published by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in September 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 219.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": "CMX-1414ABDE59",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 average",
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      ],
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    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7DGZT0LYV1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}