{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
  "slug": "kxb200ms-27apr",
  "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in April 2027?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-b200",
    "compute-pricing",
    "hardware-economics",
    "monthly-average",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the monthly average hourly spot rental price of NVIDIA's B200 GPU compute in April 2027. Kalshi structures this as nine binary strike thresholds from $3.00 to $7.00 per hour, together forming an implied probability distribution over the rate level. The authoritative source is the Ornn dashboard, with resolution determined by Kalshi staff. Markets close May 1, 2027 and resolve by May 8, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0Z6SQMCL9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.75,
    "implied_probability": 0.75
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0Z6SQMCL9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-3.00",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.00: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2983.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-1476023A18",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZD79P19BV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-3.50",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.50: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.76,
      "implied_probability": 0.76,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 49.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-39E5A118CD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JF2G1YDXV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-4.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $4.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.00: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 135.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-8C2B7DD48F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T256765RM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-4.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $4.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.50: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 100.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-DD4A540732",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9M34N548X0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-5.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.57,
      "implied_probability": 0.57,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 68.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-8CAEE6244F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8NKN1MXLM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-5.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $5.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.50: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.61,
      "implied_probability": 0.61,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 272.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-AA355D35E9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WK036F6C69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-6.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1444.32,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E5E83942D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C6MJSY1JP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-6.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $6.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.50: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 278.96,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-54DD36B5F4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "chip",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YZG4W6L8C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXB200MS-27APR-7.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in April 2027?",
      "description": "Above $7.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $7.00: Kalshi staff determination of the listed company's compute processor monthly average price from Ornn dashboard data, resolved by May 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in April 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 90.62,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": "CMX-7E9C2B31D2",
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      "tags": [
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        "chip",
        "nvidia",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JH65RKS354",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}