{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-452NHH76X2",
  "slug": "kxbankruptcy-26",
  "question": "Will more than X companies go bankrupt this year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "corporate-bankruptcies",
    "economic-indicators",
    "us-economy",
    "numeric-outcome",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the total number of U.S. corporate bankruptcies filed in 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of discrete strike thresholds: 550, 600, 650, 750, 800, and 850. Each contract prices the probability that the final count exceeds that level. S&P Global's disclosure data is the authoritative source; Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, expected by March 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PCMNTVRNT0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.83,
    "implied_probability": 0.83
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ML5KX4L7C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-452NHH76X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBANKRUPTCY-26-550",
      "question": "How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year?",
      "description": "Above 550",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 550: The number of corporate bankruptcies in the referenced year, as reported by Standard & Poor's disclosure database by March 13, 2027, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-13T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 550, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Standard & Poor's",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://disclosure.spglobal.com/sri/",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "question_id": "CMX-BB9C144B0E",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBANKRUPTCY-26-600",
      "question": "How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year?",
      "description": "Above 600",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 600: The number of corporate bankruptcies in the referenced year, as reported by Standard & Poor's disclosure database by March 13, 2027, determines the outcome.",
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        "rules_raw": "If the number of corporate bankruptcies is greater than 600, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year?",
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      "question_id": "CMX-3FB4D1E463",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PCMNTVRNT0",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBANKRUPTCY-26-750",
      "question": "How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year?",
      "description": "Above 750",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 750: The number of corporate bankruptcies in the referenced year, as reported by Standard & Poor's disclosure database by March 13, 2027, determines the outcome.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PMC0K09ZJ3",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBANKRUPTCY-26-800",
      "question": "How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year?",
      "description": "Above 800",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-452NHH76X2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}