{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YT2BFW4G26",
  "slug": "kxbestllmchina-27",
  "question": "Will a Chinese AI model be ranked #1 this year?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai-model-rankings",
    "chinese-tech",
    "artificial-intelligence",
    "2027",
    "benchmark-performance"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether a Chinese-developed AI model will hold the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard as of January 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by Kalshi staff using the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard rankings at that date. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. The LMSYS Chatbot Arena rankings are maintained by UC Berkeley researchers and serve as the authoritative source for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V41KQN4QC7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V41KQN4QC7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YT2BFW4G26",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBESTLLMCHINA-27",
      "question": "Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard rankings as of January 1, 2027, determine which AI model holds the #1 position.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LMSYS",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "LMSYS",
            "url": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "LMSYS",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.075000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 15116.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-2ADB52C0BD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "china",
        "chinese ai model",
        "global-ranking",
        "llm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YT2BFW4G26",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}