{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
  "slug": "kxbills",
  "question": "Which bills will become law in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-legislation",
    "2026-policy",
    "law-passage",
    "congress",
    "regulatory-outcomes"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether specific bills across policy domains become enacted law before January 1, 2027. All 31 markets share identical structure: binary Kalshi questions asking whether named legislation is signed into law. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using White House records and federal legislative databases. The breadth of bills spans credit-card routing, AI-chip exports, housing, and symbolic measures like renaming Dulles Airport.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JRWXQTYS37",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZJM6RRKQ73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-CCR",
      "question": "Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Credit-card routing competition",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Credit-card routing competition: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 980.1790000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "competition",
        "credit card routing",
        "finance",
        "payments"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BPCGX7V322",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-AIO",
      "question": "Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "AI-chip export licensing",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "AI-chip export licensing: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.9992,
      "volume_total_usd": 1997.0720000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "ai chip export",
        "exports",
        "national-security",
        "semiconductors"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QDSPFS17V0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-FISA",
      "question": "Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.033,
      "implied_probability": 0.033,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5023.1798100000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fisa section 702",
        "intelligence",
        "national-security",
        "surveillance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CHQSTHG7R6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-MIN",
      "question": "Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Critical-minerals stockpile",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Critical-minerals stockpile: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2118.954,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal critical minerals",
        "infrastructure",
        "minerals",
        "supply-chain"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RF8LFSTC27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-CHIP",
      "question": "Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Export-control chip security",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Export-control chip security: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 3563.7664000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "export control chip",
        "exports",
        "national-security",
        "semiconductors"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GXXWY7RBY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-TV",
      "question": "Will legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Film/TV production expensing",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Film/TV production expensing: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 771.9625000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "entertainment",
        "media",
        "section 181 film",
        "tax"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QT5FC0WW22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-SHOW",
      "question": "Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "SHOWER Act",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "SHOWER Act: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 877.9488000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "consumer-products",
        "regulation",
        "showerhead redefinition legislation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KTKHX3Z588",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-SMITH",
      "question": "Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Smithsonian Women’s History Museum",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Smithsonian Women’s History Museum: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "$2.50 Coin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "SELF DRIVE Act",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Data center utility cost protection",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Data center utility cost protection: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
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      "resolution": {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
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      "question": "Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "ROTOR Act",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GHKYVCNQY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-DJTB",
      "question": "Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1364.6874,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commemoration",
        "federal-holiday",
        "trump birthday federal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N97SWMXXC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-HRCA",
      "question": "Will legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 by modifying the statutory definition of “food” (eligible for purchase with SNAP benefits) to specifically include “hot rotisserie chicken” become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 to modify the SNAP definition of “food” by allowing “hot rotisserie chicken” to be purchased with SNAP benefits has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4921.944,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "food-assistance",
        "hot rotisserie chicken",
        "nutrition",
        "snap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MLHC4X14J6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-BALL",
      "question": "Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "White House ballroom funding",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "White House ballroom funding: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 509.30440000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "construction",
        "infrastructure",
        "white house ballroom",
        "white-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1H1ZZSQJ76",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-E15",
      "question": "Will legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "E15 year-round sales",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "E15 year-round sales: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3673.9222,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "clean-air",
        "e15 year round",
        "ethanol",
        "fuel"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F76RQD1PV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL",
      "question": "Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Railway safety bill",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Railway safety bill: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that imposes comprehensive enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 357.525,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "freight rail hazmat",
        "hazmat",
        "rail",
        "safety"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C95FR4C0D8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-SURF",
      "question": "Will legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Surface transportation reauthorization",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Surface transportation reauthorization: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2459.3900000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "highways",
        "infrastructure",
        "surface transportation reauthorization",
        "transportation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6DZX816SS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-EVFEE",
      "question": "Will legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 748.604,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "electric vehicle highway",
        "electric-vehicles",
        "tax",
        "transportation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2GR3QDG156",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-DIGNITY",
      "question": "Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Dignity Act",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dignity Act: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-JSEC",
      "question": "Will legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Jewish American security",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "College sports federalization",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://congress.gov",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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        "college-sports"
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      "question": "Will legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-ADSB",
      "question": "Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "ADS-B revenue-use restriction",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "ADS-B revenue-use restriction: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
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            "url": "https://congress.gov",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7MP09CC0P9",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-26-JAWB",
      "question": "Will legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "JAWBONE Act",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "JAWBONE Act: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://congress.gov",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FF461TX5W2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-26JUN-INSULIN",
      "question": "Will legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Insulin cost cap",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Insulin cost cap: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.13,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J7G75J3YF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-FAKES",
      "question": "Will legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "NO FAKES Act",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "NO FAKES Act: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "White House",
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        "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VHB48W80K5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-BBAC",
      "question": "Will legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named legislation becomes law, based on White House records and federal legislative tracking, by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
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            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.7,
      "implied_probability": 0.7,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1381.891,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "which bills become"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-682F66DWG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBILLS-FISAANY",
      "question": "Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for any length of time become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "FISA Section 702 reauthorization (any length)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "FISA Section 702 reauthorization (any length): Kalshi staff determination on whether legislation reauthorizing the referenced surveillance statute for the specified duration becomes law by January 1, 2027, based on White House records.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-18T16:05:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for any length of time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.\n\nClarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.\n\nClarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that \"authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom,\" even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.",
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            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
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            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6685.32,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fisa",
        "fisa section 702",
        "national security",
        "surveillance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-682F66DWG4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JRWXQTYS37",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:46:09.486478Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.999,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XJ11K05DW7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}