{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GMWVVJJ4S2",
  "slug": "kxblanchecount-27",
  "question": "Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      49,
      50
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 49,
        "prob": 81
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50,
        "prob": 47
      },
      {
        "threshold": 51,
        "prob": 30
      },
      {
        "threshold": 52,
        "prob": 6
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      {
        "threshold": 53,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
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  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-confirmation",
    "attorney-general",
    "todd-blanche",
    "senate-vote-count",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Senate confirmation vote count for Todd Blanche as Attorney General. Kalshi structures the event as a vote-count threshold series, pricing five discrete strike levels from above 49 to above 53 votes. Each contract resolves via Kalshi staff determination against the official Senate vote record. The stacked thresholds let traders isolate the probability mass at each incremental vote count.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-R3X89DWZZ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.53,
    "implied_probability": 0.53
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRQ70HLS73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GMWVVJJ4S2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T49",
      "question": "How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?",
      "description": "Above 49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 49: The number of votes cast in favor of confirmation by the U.S. Senate, as recorded in the official Senate vote tally, resolves by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 49, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No. Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market. Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
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            "name": "U.S. Senate",
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 11371.7792,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 49,
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      "also_on": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GMWVVJJ4S2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T50",
      "question": "How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?",
      "description": "Above 50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 50: The number of votes cast in favor of confirmation by the U.S. Senate, as recorded in the official Senate vote tally, resolves by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No. Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market. Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
        "sources": [
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      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4465.350700000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50,
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      "also_on": null,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T51",
      "question": "How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?",
      "description": "Above 51",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 51: The number of votes cast in favor of confirmation by the U.S. Senate, as recorded in the official Senate vote tally, resolves by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 51, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No. Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market. Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
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            "url": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Senate.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 846.295,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 51,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "attorney-general",
        "senate-confirmation",
        "todd blanche attorney",
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        "us-senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N7WCK9NC35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GMWVVJJ4S2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T52",
      "question": "How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?",
      "description": "Above 52",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 52: The number of votes cast in favor of confirmation by the U.S. Senate, as recorded in the official Senate vote tally, resolves by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 52, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No. Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market. Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Senate",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate",
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      "last_price": 0.06,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 153.4878,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 52,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "senate-confirmation",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T53",
      "question": "How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?",
      "description": "Above 53",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 53: The number of votes cast in favor of confirmation by the U.S. Senate, as recorded in the official Senate vote tally, resolves by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 53, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No. Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market. Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 53,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "senate-confirmation",
        "todd blanche attorney",
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}