{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QK0HJYVMX2",
  "slug": "kxbluewavecombo-27feb",
  "question": "Will there be a blue wave in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-midterms-2026",
    "democratic-performance",
    "house-seats",
    "election-outcomes",
    "political-wave"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Democrats achieve unified legislative control following the November 2026 midterms. The single Kalshi market sets dual thresholds: 218 or more House seats and 49 or more Senate seats simultaneously. Resolution depends on Kalshi staff determination of official chamber seat counts after the November 2026 elections. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform structural contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RQ122NRT97",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.75,
    "implied_probability": 0.75
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RQ122NRT97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QK0HJYVMX2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBLUEWAVECOMBO-27FEB",
      "question": "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?",
      "description": "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of official House and Senate seat counts following the November 2026 midterm elections.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: \"Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?\" uses SEATSCONGRESS, \"Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?\" uses SEATSCONGRESS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.\n\n\nThis market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1707.2475,
      "volume_total_usd": 224474.40000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026 midterms",
        "control",
        "democrats",
        "democrats control house",
        "house",
        "senate",
        "us politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QK0HJYVMX2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}