{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
  "slug": "kxbnbmaxy-bnb-26dec31",
  "question": "BNB trimmed mean price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      630,
      640
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 600,
        "prob": 88
      },
      {
        "threshold": 610,
        "prob": 85
      },
      {
        "threshold": 620,
        "prob": 57
      },
      {
        "threshold": 630,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 640,
        "prob": 27
      },
      {
        "threshold": 650,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 660,
        "prob": 17
      },
      {
        "threshold": 670,
        "prob": 16
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bnb-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-prediction",
    "binance-coin",
    "2027-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track BNB's year-end price level against discrete strike thresholds. Each contract asks whether the CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price will exceed a specific strike on December 31, 2026. The ladder spans $600 to $670 in $10 increments, forming an implied probability curve across price levels. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination using the CF Benchmarks trimmed mean, which applies outlier-filtering methodology to the closing price.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0HTK8WNGR9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZWT5LWWLJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-60000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $600.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $600.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $600.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n600.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1043.68,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3DC309646",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XHK0NRS816",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-61000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $610.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $610.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $610.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n610.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.85,
      "implied_probability": 0.85,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 57.8,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 610,
      "question_id": "CMX-2B41B2B7FC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNHWHSHFN7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-62000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $620.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $620.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $620.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n620.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.57,
      "implied_probability": 0.57,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1342.16,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 620,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D27A10CF9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H7B3HRBFY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-63000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $630.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $630.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $630.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n630.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 32.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 3120.82,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 630,
      "question_id": "CMX-DE39D4229A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0HTK8WNGR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-64000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $640.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $640.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $640.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n640.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 1402.56,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 640,
      "question_id": "CMX-A821E6A4BF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZC9X2ZXXS0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-65000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $650.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $650.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $650.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n650.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 507.82,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 650,
      "question_id": "CMX-DD296454F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BW0HSG96X3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-66000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $660.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $660.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $660.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n660.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 138.72,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 660,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F009C4892",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "binance-coin",
        "bnb",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KNTZNRQKM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBNBMAXY-BNB-26DEC31-67000",
      "question": "Will BNB trimmed mean be above $670.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $670.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $670.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price on December 31, 2026 determines the outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $\n670.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BNBUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CZKPBHL2B4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}