{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-N2HX8FYSB9",
  "slug": "kxbrazilu-q42026-5.8",
  "question": "Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "brazil-unemployment",
    "economic-indicator",
    "labor-market",
    "q4-2026",
    "2027-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Brazil's official unemployment rate falls below 5.8% in Q4 2026. IBGE, Brazil's national statistics agency, publishes the authoritative unemployment figure via its Continuous PNAD survey. Resolution is determined by Kalshi staff using the IBGE Q4 2026 release. The market closes March 31, 2027, accommodating IBGE's typical publication lag.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RN9L5PLWB1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.7,
    "implied_probability": 0.7,
    "as_of": "2026-10-19T02:45:33.568Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RN9L5PLWB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N2HX8FYSB9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRAZILU-Q42026-5.8",
      "question": "Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?",
      "description": "Below 5.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) publishes Brazil's unemployment rate for Q4 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If unemployment in Brazil is below 5.8% in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IGBE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/indicators#desemprego",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IGBE",
            "url": "https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/indicators#desemprego",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IGBE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.7,
      "implied_probability": 0.7,
      "price_as_of": "2026-10-19T02:45:33.568Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13003.368,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 5.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-818DBB1DFC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil unemployment rate",
        "economic-indicator",
        "unemployment"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ],
      "last_checked_at": "2026-10-24T07:46:12.242Z",
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-N2HX8FYSB9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}