{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
  "slug": "kxbrinfhigh-27jan01",
  "question": "Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      5,
      5.25
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 4.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.75,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 58
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.25,
        "prob": 45
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.5,
        "prob": 17
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.75,
        "prob": 22
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.25,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.5,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.75,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "brazil-inflation",
    "economics-macro",
    "price-levels",
    "2026-resolution",
    "emerging-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Brazil's annual inflation rate against discrete strike thresholds ranging from 4.50% to 7.00%. Each Kalshi binary prices whether the rate level will exceed a specific threshold, and together the eleven strikes form an implied probability distribution over the rate's terminal range. The authoritative source is Brazil's central bank, with Kalshi staff determination settling all contracts on January 8, 2027. Traders can read the cumulative strike structure to extract a market-implied ceiling for Brazilian CPI.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DB6FLJSMM7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.45,
    "implied_probability": 0.45
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D1ZZ0PTS69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T4.50",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 4.50%?",
      "description": "Above 4.50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.50%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T01:09:09Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 4.50% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1804.56,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-6735F0AB67",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-423VMW6CL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T4.75",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 4.75%?",
      "description": "Above 4.75%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.75%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 4.75% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3488.5856,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-9B7B1AC0F9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3LR7PNLN66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T5.00",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 5.00%?",
      "description": "Above 5.00%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.00%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 5.00% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.58,
      "implied_probability": 0.58,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1760.445,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-59B71799C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DB6FLJSMM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T5.25",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 5.25%?",
      "description": "Above 5.25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.25%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 5.25% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 577.359,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-79C57D9BC8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R2LL4NX8L9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T5.50",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 5.50%?",
      "description": "Above 5.50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.50%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 5.50% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 249.1877,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-10FDE55C07",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-72P6DR81S4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T5.75",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 5.75%?",
      "description": "Above 5.75%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.75%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 5.75% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 535.6868000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-F8F02C4877",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8M0MC9SPQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T6.00",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 6.00%?",
      "description": "Above 6.00%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6.00%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 6.00% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 179.0628,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-AB01AFCDE9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2NKJ7N0FW2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T6.25",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 6.25%?",
      "description": "Above 6.25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6.25%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 6.25% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 231.95999999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-A81FD0C63A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-00C89JCWS6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T6.50",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 6.50%?",
      "description": "Above 6.50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6.50%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 6.50% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 26.580000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-44B12B9272",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NG2T5NPLD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T6.75",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 6.75%?",
      "description": "Above 6.75%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6.75%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 6.75% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-FFF30AC494",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8WDWN6DNZ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBRINFHIGH-27JAN01-T7.00",
      "question": "Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 7.00%?",
      "description": "Above 7.00%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 7.00%: Brazil's annual inflation rate as reported by its central bank resolves on January 8, 2027, based on the most recent monthly data available by that deadline.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T13:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 7.00% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": "CMX-9CDE87009B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil annual inflation",
        "economic-indicator",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D1ZZ0PTS69",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T01:39:13.381785Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VGBP5WSQ32",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}