{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-82NB0PNHT1",
  "slug": "kxbtc50vs100-btc-26dec31",
  "question": "Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "milestone-race",
    "crypto-volatility",
    "binary-outcome",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Bitcoin reaches $50,000 before $100,000 by December 31, 2026. The binary outcome prices a directional sequence, not a price level in isolation. CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index is the authoritative price source for resolution. Kalshi staff determination settles the contract using that index.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SJ51L3CGB2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.64,
    "implied_probability": 0.64
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJ51L3CGB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-82NB0PNHT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTC50VS100-BTC-26DEC31",
      "question": "Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "50,000 first",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (DOTUSD_RTI) determines whether BTC reaches $50,000 before $100,000 by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If BTC reaches $50,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market tracks whether the cryptocurrency price reaches the first threshold before the second threshold. \"Reaches\" means the price touches or falls below $50,000 (the lower threshold) OR touches or rises above $100,000 (the upper threshold). The first threshold reached determines the outcome. Price is measured using the CF Real-Time Index, taking a simple average over any 60-second period. If $50,000 is reached first, the market resolves to Yes. If $100,000 is reached first, the market resolves to No. If neither threshold is reached by the deadline, the market resolves to No. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/DOTUSD_RTI",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/DOTUSD_RTI",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.64,
      "implied_probability": 0.64,
      "volume_24h_usd": 782.6560000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 63177.804800000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-151DB3B6D0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "milestone",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-82NB0PNHT1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}