{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
  "slug": "kxbtcmax100-26",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "price-crossing",
    "cryptocurrency",
    "2026",
    "milestone-threshold"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bitcoin will exceed $100,000 by sequential deadlines spanning May 2026 through January 2027. Each contract represents a distinct crossing threshold; earlier-dated markets are nested subsets of the later ones, creating an implicit term structure of Bitcoin price expectations. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate. Note that the authoritative rate observation date is January 1, 2027 for all contracts, regardless of the individual threshold date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GH9LDN7DX5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMWKS22W31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-APR",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before May 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before May 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-02T19:18:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15508.97,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-49E84B2207",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price",
        "threshold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLVT20BS54",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-MAY",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before June 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before June 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T11:42:14Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16991.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DFE537796F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price",
        "threshold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DL06RVSXM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-JUNE",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by July 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before July 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before July 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 34163.7335,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-489CA17E63",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-1V53L07897",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price",
        "threshold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0M92V5Z450",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-SEP",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before October 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before October 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 296.031,
      "volume_total_usd": 51424.4418,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1B5541B5D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price",
        "threshold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GH9LDN7DX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-DEC",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before January 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before January 2027: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 426.1829,
      "volume_total_usd": 96175.67700000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3C51C4F35E",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-KH1X2G72M5",
          "price": 0.16
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price",
        "threshold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPV74S0K63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-MAR",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by April 1st, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before April 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "CF Benchmarks publishes the Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) price at January 1, 2027 12:00 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T14:18:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before April 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13246.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-675F32D7EC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMWKS22W31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLVT20BS54",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPV74S0K63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}