{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
  "slug": "kxbtcmax100-26",
  "question": "Bitcoin price, June 1, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      100000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 13
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-milestone",
    "near-term-2026",
    "uma-subjective"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bitcoin crosses $100,000 by discrete monthly deadlines through January 2027. Each contract is a binary, with earlier months implying a subset of later-month probability. Kalshi staff determine outcomes using the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate. A notable caveat: pre-January 2027 contracts resolve against the January 1, 2027 reference rate reading, not a real-time spot price at each month's deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SLVT20BS54",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLVT20BS54",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-MAY",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before June 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before June 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T11:42:14Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16991.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DFE537796F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DL06RVSXM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-JUNE",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by July 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before July 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T15:46:37Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before July 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 34163.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-489CA17E63",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-1V53L07897",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WM29S65QM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-AUG",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Sep 1, 2026 at 12:00AMET?",
      "description": "Before September 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before September 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Sep 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3625.732,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9F2A1E7A29",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-P9ZTWRK6C9",
          "price": 0.003
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0M92V5Z450",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-SEP",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before October 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before October 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 2636.1657000000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 90069.56910000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1B5541B5D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0PCNW80029",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-OCT",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by November 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before November 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before November 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-01T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 747.5741999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 12337.946999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F54D0588F2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7QDTC8WX88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-NOV",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by December 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before December 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before December 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 623.816,
      "volume_total_usd": 10342.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6EDA294E03",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GH9LDN7DX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-DEC",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before January 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before January 2027: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1424.1984,
      "volume_total_usd": 321538.2848,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3C51C4F35E",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-KH1X2G72M5",
          "price": 0.09
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "$100k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMWKS22W31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-APR",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before May 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before May 2026: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Reference Rate on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold, with Kalshi staff determination by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-02T19:18:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15508.97,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-49E84B2207",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price",
        "threshold"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPV74S0K63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAX100-26-MAR",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by April 1st, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?",
      "description": "Before April 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "CF Benchmarks publishes the Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) price at January 1, 2027 12:00 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T14:18:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before April 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13246.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-675F32D7EC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "crypto_prices"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMWKS22W31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPV74S0K63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DL06RVSXM6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:46:40.84402Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLVT20BS54",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-01T12:42:20.619727Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}