{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
  "slug": "kxbtcmaxy-26dec31",
  "question": "Bitcoin maximum price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      100000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 110000,
        "prob": 15
      },
      {
        "threshold": 120000,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 130000,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 140000,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000,
        "prob": 4
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026-resolution",
    "btc-usd"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bitcoin closes above discrete price thresholds by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi structures each as a separate binary strike, letting traders express views at seven distinct levels from $100,000 to $200,000. The implied probability curve across strikes functions like a digital options ladder on year-end spot price. CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index is the authoritative price source; settlement is by Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5KQ2CCG0F5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.14,
    "implied_probability": 0.14
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5KQ2CCG0F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-99999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $99,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $99,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 378.10780000000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 165153.31420000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-34ADF732C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N99GRKPL56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-109999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $109,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $109,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 139.174,
      "volume_total_usd": 36765.383200000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 110000,
      "question_id": "CMX-08055B6D0C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HJPTFL9D65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-119999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $119,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $119,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $119999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 39.7537,
      "volume_total_usd": 35755.585600000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 120000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5256586801",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YJYNK5YJF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-129999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $129,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $129,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $129,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $129999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.3558,
      "volume_total_usd": 24541.865400000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 130000,
      "question_id": "CMX-89A8656413",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GW3BVKB3V6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-139999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $139,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $139,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $139999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13096.829,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 140000,
      "question_id": "CMX-236A2DC594",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B0VWXP1TG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-149999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $149,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $149,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $149999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.0552,
      "volume_total_usd": 15223.933600000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8DDB8F8589",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCFXF53547",
          "price": 0.06
        },
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-JTH1HGZD31",
          "price": 0.049
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KFB6RB34Z6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-199999.99",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?",
      "description": "Above $199,999.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $199,999.99: CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index determines whether the referenced asset closes above the specified price threshold on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with resolution by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $199999.99 starting 10/01/2025 10:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BRTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23685.522,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9BFB586834",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}