{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
  "slug": "kxbtcminmon-btc-26aug31",
  "question": "BTC trimmed mean price, August 31, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "below",
    "implied_band": [
      42500,
      null
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 42500,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 45000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 47500,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 52500,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 55000,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 57500,
        "prob": 24
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 49
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price-floor",
    "crypto-volatility",
    "august-2026",
    "price-prediction",
    "btc-usd"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price of BTC at 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026. Eight strike thresholds span $42,500 to $60,000, each a binary yes/no on whether BTC closes below that level. Together they form an implied probability distribution over BTC's downside range for August. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against the CF Benchmarks published print.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-78LRD73F45",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.02,
    "implied_probability": 0.02
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YV6QY33ZH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-6000000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $60000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $60,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $60,000.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $60000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15080.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 27271.32,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FB917696EE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9269YNJVH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-5750000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $57500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $57,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $57,500.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $57500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1049.73,
      "volume_total_usd": 10434.11,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 57500,
      "question_id": "CMX-95126B1A1A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FRTCY15QB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-5500000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $55000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $55,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $55,000.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $55000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1091.31,
      "volume_total_usd": 4643.34,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 55000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E4CE60F51A",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-1THQ1D59C1",
          "price": 0.14
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WMK5SLKRJ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-5250000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $52500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $52,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $52,500.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $52500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 269,
      "volume_total_usd": 1554.04,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 52500,
      "question_id": "CMX-1807888A15",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HDHK3P0WP1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-5000000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $50000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $50,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $50,000.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $50000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 82.67,
      "volume_total_usd": 392.21,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 50000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C9CF1650EB",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-91V0T5X701",
          "price": 0.055
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H493TWRG00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-4750000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $47500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $47,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $47,500.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $47500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.3,
      "volume_total_usd": 288.52,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 47500,
      "question_id": "CMX-90D6BCEAC2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JGK166CZ01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-4500000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $45000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $45,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $45,000.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $45000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 48.62,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 45000,
      "question_id": "CMX-459E5417D9",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-RKZWWX0158",
          "price": 0.019
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-78LRD73F45",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26AUG31-4250000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $42500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $42,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $42,500.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determined by Kalshi staff review of published data by September 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever below $42500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.02,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 42500,
      "question_id": "CMX-4E57C2C305",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price floor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9D8FRK3QR0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}