{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
  "slug": "kxbtcminmon-btc-26jun30",
  "question": "Bitcoin trimmed mean price, June 30, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "below",
    "implied_band": [
      52500,
      70000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 52500,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 55000,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 57500,
        "prob": 27
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 65000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 67500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 99
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "crypto-volatility",
    "june-2026",
    "price-floor",
    "short-term-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track BTC spot price levels at month-end June 2026. Kalshi structures the event as eight discrete downside strike thresholds, ranging from $52,500 to $70,000. Each binary resolves against the CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price at 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Kalshi staff determination applies; the CF Benchmarks print is the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V7Q21XGR47",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GFN7X174F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-7000000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $70,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $70,000.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-02T11:30:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 30391.1,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D94BBCF982",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "below-70k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZCP32ZZR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-6750000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $67500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $67,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $67,500.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-02T15:31:08Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23785.75,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 67500,
      "question_id": "CMX-A4E858FC4A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "below-67.5k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PBT0CVT6H9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-6500000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $65000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $65,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $65,000.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T21:00:26Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $65000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 50342.9,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 65000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8538057470",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "below-65k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HN2DDHT4F8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-6250000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $62500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $62,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $62,500.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-04T01:54:50Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $62500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 61427.9,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 62500,
      "question_id": "CMX-7ED948419C",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-TMWYB9G5W5",
          "price": 0.999
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "below-62.5k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HLJFBW4BM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-6000000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $60000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $60,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $60,000.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T18:44:50Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $60000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 159826.06,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-AB7A934741",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "below-60k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JY8XBK6R4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-5750000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $57500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $57,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $57,500.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $57500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3122.38,
      "volume_total_usd": 71062.28,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 57500,
      "question_id": "CMX-14353FA415",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-0C76XVP5X2",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "below-57.5k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9K019DNQ44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-5500000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $55000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $55,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $55,000.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $55000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 902.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 35994.14,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 55000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B21E712999",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y7YPTMHYT9",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "below-55k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V7Q21XGR47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-5250000",
      "question": "Will BTC trimmed mean be below $52500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $52,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $52,500.00: CF Benchmarks BTC trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET determines the outcome; Kalshi staff confirms the resolution by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $52500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF BRTI price for BTC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 637.72,
      "volume_total_usd": 9648.22,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 52500,
      "question_id": "CMX-79C4407E3D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "below-52.5k",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GFN7X174F7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZCP32ZZR9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PBT0CVT6H9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HN2DDHT4F8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HLJFBW4BM2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-P48V448T55",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}