{ "_notice": { "type": "free_key_offer", "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.", "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/", "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change." }, "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "slug": "kxbtcy-27jan0100", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "category": "crypto", "event_type": "BINARY", "ladder_distribution": null, "tags": [ "crypto", "bitcoin-price", "crypto-markets", "price-prediction", "eoy-2026", "btc-usd" ], "catalyst_types": [], "catalyst_dates": [], "editorial_notes": "These markets track the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027. Kalshi prices the rate level across discrete $5,000-wide strike tiers spanning sub-$20,000 to well above $150,000. Polymarket structures the same event as binary threshold questions, pricing whether Bitcoin clears specific strike levels. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against the CF Benchmarks fixing; any benchmark computation delay past 05:05 UTC could affect settlement.", "venues_covered": [ "kalshi" ], "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y19J1JL998", "current_primary_mark": { "last_price": 0.08, "implied_probability": 0.08 }, "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00", "markets": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-WG5P871HR1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-T20000.00", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "19,999.99 or below", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "19,999.99 or below: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is below 20000.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.03, "implied_probability": 0.03, "volume_24h_usd": 2.073, "volume_total_usd": 14614.3545, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "below", "threshold": 20000, "question_id": "CMX-D38AD852CE", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-NQYZ21VXJ4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B22500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "20,000 to 24,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "20,000 to 24,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 20000.00-24999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.032, "implied_probability": 0.032, "volume_24h_usd": 6.97696, "volume_total_usd": 15939.970560000002, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 25000, "question_id": "CMX-4771C0023F", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-VLP29FTHM8", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B27500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "25,000 to 29,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "25,000 to 29,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 25000.00-29999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.027, "implied_probability": 0.027, "volume_24h_usd": 0.6231599999999999, "volume_total_usd": 12013.94349, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 30000, "question_id": "CMX-7B75B08D60", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-SX33T34Q02", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B32500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "30,000 to 34,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "30,000 to 34,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 30000.00-34999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.035, "implied_probability": 0.035, "volume_24h_usd": 24.696350000000002, "volume_total_usd": 20633.9392, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 35000, "question_id": "CMX-6821138889", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-CB1PSZMFL7", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B37500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "35,000 to 39,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "35,000 to 39,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 35000.00-39999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.046, "implied_probability": 0.046, "volume_24h_usd": 2.28114, "volume_total_usd": 57312.147039999996, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 40000, "question_id": "CMX-29DA7E45A3", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6GCWG50N3", "price": 0.22 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-5TVKBY2PG9", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B42500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "40,000 to 44,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "40,000 to 44,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 40000.00-44999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.059, "implied_probability": 0.059, "volume_24h_usd": 5.328879999999999, "volume_total_usd": 81085.11068999999, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 45000, "question_id": "CMX-3FB7F6F934", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-FW3NJ0MVF7", "price": 0.31 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-8VLXHL16R3", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B47500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "45,000 to 49,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "45,000 to 49,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 45000.00-49999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.068, "implied_probability": 0.068, "volume_24h_usd": 58.14884000000001, "volume_total_usd": 137338.67044000002, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 50000, "question_id": "CMX-181783441D", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-9P6WZM6R34", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B52500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "50,000 to 54,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "50,000 to 54,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 50000.00-54999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.071, "implied_probability": 0.071, "volume_24h_usd": 20.55024, "volume_total_usd": 144378.97428, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 55000, "question_id": "CMX-8F3138A3FA", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-JN5218ZG62", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B57500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "55,000 to 59,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "55,000 to 59,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 55000.00-59999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.073, "implied_probability": 0.073, "volume_24h_usd": 13.535659999999998, "volume_total_usd": 138166.74886999998, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 60000, "question_id": "CMX-9B2A23F4F6", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-4BLBBKR2Z4", "price": 0.67 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y19J1JL998", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B62500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "60,000 to 64,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "60,000 to 64,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 60000.00-64999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.08, "implied_probability": 0.08, "volume_24h_usd": 457.0296, "volume_total_usd": 152671.8384, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 65000, "question_id": "CMX-7B450F52C0", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFVHK2HQF3", "price": 0.999 }, { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-D57YCKJ467", "price": 0 }, { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-9XMK30CSV7", "price": 0.88 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-877HT107P1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B67500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "65,000 to 69,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "65,000 to 69,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 65000.00-69999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.101, "implied_probability": 0.101, "volume_24h_usd": 742.73279, "volume_total_usd": 196074.08659000002, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 70000, "question_id": "CMX-00D444B03C", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-0R346HY134", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B72500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "70,000 to 74,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "70,000 to 74,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 70000.00-74999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.088, "implied_probability": 0.088, "volume_24h_usd": 759.8993599999999, "volume_total_usd": 176900.57968, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 75000, "question_id": "CMX-9772EB593A", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y46V6HFJH0", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B77500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "75,000 to 79,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "75,000 to 79,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 75000.00-79999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.066, "implied_probability": 0.066, "volume_24h_usd": 210.97296, "volume_total_usd": 134763.63252, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 80000, "question_id": "CMX-EB33EFC3CD", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2JDSBP0724", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B82500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "80,000 to 84,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "80,000 to 84,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 80000.00-84999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.057, "implied_probability": 0.057, "volume_24h_usd": 45.583470000000005, "volume_total_usd": 108382.98744, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 85000, "question_id": "CMX-3B678C3F45", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-VLZBHZK3W6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B87500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "85,000 to 89,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "85,000 to 89,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 85000.00-89999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.044, "implied_probability": 0.044, "volume_24h_usd": 34.7512, "volume_total_usd": 80993.79596, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 90000, "question_id": "CMX-53B5E2DB61", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-VVYCP035F4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B92500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "90,000 to 94,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "90,000 to 94,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 90000.00-94999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.019, "implied_probability": 0.019, "volume_24h_usd": 24.84649, "volume_total_usd": 20196.42202, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 95000, "question_id": "CMX-6F7DC871DA", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-YV367YT9Z4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B97500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "95,000 to 99,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "95,000 to 99,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 95000.00-99999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.021, "implied_probability": 0.021, "volume_24h_usd": 45.99693, "volume_total_usd": 8326.07601, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 100000, "question_id": "CMX-565F643BAD", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2NM4W6M23", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B102500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "100,000 to 104,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "100,000 to 104,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 100000.00-104999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.014, "implied_probability": 0.014, "volume_24h_usd": 18.715899999999998, "volume_total_usd": 6662.80188, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 105000, "question_id": "CMX-3C51C4F35E", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-KH1X2G72M5", "price": 0.16 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-D56VCJVXS4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B107500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "105,000 to 109,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "105,000 to 109,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 105000.00-109999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.017, "implied_probability": 0.017, "volume_24h_usd": 22.86993, "volume_total_usd": 5113.214780000001, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 110000, "question_id": "CMX-5E6EB359C9", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQR3M7XMK1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B112500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "110,000 to 114,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "110,000 to 114,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 110000.00-114999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.01, "implied_probability": 0.01, "volume_24h_usd": 10.0149, "volume_total_usd": 3076.201, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 115000, "question_id": "CMX-1C8526B650", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-LSL68MHM07", "price": 0.12 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-07YTRSFX76", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B117500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "115,000 to 119,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "115,000 to 119,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 115000.00-119999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.013, "implied_probability": 0.013, "volume_24h_usd": 71.02848999999999, "volume_total_usd": 3519.28148, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 120000, "question_id": "CMX-68793DF5AF", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-G6Q0MV9073", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B122500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "120,000 to 124,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "120,000 to 124,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 120000.00-124999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.01, "implied_probability": 0.01, "volume_24h_usd": 25.808200000000003, "volume_total_usd": 2845.6569, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 125000, "question_id": "CMX-51089429DE", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-H8GHS7JXB7", "price": 0.1 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-1M882LY4K6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B127500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "125,000 to 129,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "125,000 to 129,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 125000.00-129999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.011, "implied_probability": 0.011, "volume_24h_usd": 27.65928, "volume_total_usd": 3221.5850699999996, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 130000, "question_id": "CMX-CB4CBF6802", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPDPJZJ232", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B132500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "130,000 to 134,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "130,000 to 134,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 130000.00-134999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.008, "implied_probability": 0.008, "volume_24h_usd": 20.99016, "volume_total_usd": 2216.58424, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 135000, "question_id": "CMX-90234E9672", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-N7D8KTGHK5", "price": 0.07 } ], "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-WLDF8NP2L9", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B137500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "135,000 to 139,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "135,000 to 139,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 135000.00-139999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.007, "implied_probability": 0.007, "volume_24h_usd": 19.07423, "volume_total_usd": 1886.3086199999998, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 140000, "question_id": "CMX-1D1DA93F83", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2026", "bitcoin", "btc", "price" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-3DS8Y9LP15", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B142500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "140,000 to 144,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "140,000 to 144,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 140000.00-144999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.006, "implied_probability": 0.006, "volume_24h_usd": 22.6722, "volume_total_usd": 1711.5986400000002, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 145000, "question_id": "CMX-A2EECD8B9B", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "bitcoin" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-P9NPYF0QC6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B147500", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "145,000 to 149,999.99", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "145,000 to 149,999.99: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 145000.00-149999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.002, "implied_probability": 0.002, "volume_24h_usd": 8.0607, "volume_total_usd": 629.0897600000001, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "between", "threshold": 150000, "question_id": "CMX-CA3062A6E7", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "bitcoin" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBVTHVLGS7", "event_id": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXBTCY-27JAN0100-T149999.99", "question": "BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "150,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "150,000 or above: CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin reference rate at 05:05 UTC on January 1, 2027 determines the outcome, per Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:05:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is above 149999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "CF Benchmarks", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "sources": [ { "name": "CF Benchmarks", "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' BRTI", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" }, { "name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)", "url": null, "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial" } ], "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.03, "implied_probability": 0.03, "volume_24h_usd": 23.8968, "volume_total_usd": 55645.74539999999, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 150000, "question_id": "CMX-8DDB8F8589", "also_on": [ { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCFXF53547", "price": 0.06 }, { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "CM-MKT-JTH1HGZD31", "price": 0.049 } ], "tags": [ "bitcoin" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "review", "reasons": [ "category_not_enumerated_s1" ], "bucket": null, "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] } ], "resolution_log": [], "_provenance": { "source": "clearmarket.fyi", "ref": "CM-EVT-0WKFGLC4Y3", "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi" } }