{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
  "slug": "kxbulgariapres-26nov15",
  "question": "Will there be a Bulgarian presidential election winner by 2026-11-15?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "bulgarian-politics",
    "presidential-election",
    "2027-election",
    "eastern-europe",
    "executive-leadership"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election. Kalshi lists eleven candidate-specific binary contracts, each resolving YES if that named candidate wins. The markets are mutually exclusive; at most one resolves YES. Bulgaria's Central Election Commission provides the authoritative result, confirmed via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q7KKHZ6NJ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.76,
    "implied_probability": 0.76,
    "as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q7KKHZ6NJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-IYOT",
      "question": "Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Iliana Yotova",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Iliana Yotova: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Iliana Yotova wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.76,
      "implied_probability": 0.76,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12714.465600000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bulgaria",
        "iliana yotova",
        "presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MT0V4K8QV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-NKIS",
      "question": "Will Nataliya Kiselova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Nataliya Kiselova",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nataliya Kiselova: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nataliya Kiselova wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.25,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "nataliya kiselova",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X5Q9N631D6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-YSTO",
      "question": "Will Yanaki Stoilov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Yanaki Stoilov",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yanaki Stoilov: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Yanaki Stoilov wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.04,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bulgaria",
        "presidential election",
        "yanaki stoilov"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TJB4DC73M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-KZAR",
      "question": "Will Krum Zarkov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Krum Zarkov",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Krum Zarkov: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Krum Zarkov wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.45,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bulgaria",
        "krum zarkov",
        "presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RG1Q992YV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-NDEN",
      "question": "Will Nikolai Denkov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Nikolai Denkov",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nikolai Denkov: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nikolai Denkov wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.055,
      "implied_probability": 0.055,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 239.5943,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "bulgaria",
        "nikolai denkov",
        "presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T8KC6MN1Q9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-BKOT",
      "question": "Will Blagomir Kotsev win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Blagomir Kotsev",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Blagomir Kotsev: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Blagomir Kotsev wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.027,
      "implied_probability": 0.027,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 27.081,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "blagomir kotsev",
        "bulgaria",
        "presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H84W30H271",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-RZHE",
      "question": "Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Rosen Zhelyazkov",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rosen Zhelyazkov: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rosen Zhelyazkov wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.038,
      "implied_probability": 0.038,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 104.36396,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bulgaria",
        "presidential election",
        "rosen zhelyazkov"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7WLQ7PJ840",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXBULGARIAPRES-26NOV15-AATA",
      "question": "Will Atanas Atanasov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Atanas Atanasov",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Atanas Atanasov: Bulgaria's Central Election Commission or official state proclamation will confirm the named candidate's victory in the 2026 presidential election by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Atanas Atanasov wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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