{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B3ZNFVBF0",
  "slug": "kxca01s-26jan01",
  "question": "Who will win the California 1st congressional district special election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "special-election",
    "us-house-races",
    "2027",
    "congressional-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the CA-01 special election, including any runoff rounds. Kalshi lists five candidate-specific binary contracts: McGuire, Denney, Wilson, Gallagher, and Dahle. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination based on official California results. Resolution is set for January 1, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XK0MF7QYM4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0N1R6JWNS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B3ZNFVBF0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA01S-26JAN01-MMCG",
      "question": "Will Mike McGuire win the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)?",
      "description": "Mike McGuire",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike McGuire: The named candidate's victory is determined by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from California electoral authorities by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T21:21:18Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T21:21:18Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike McGuire wins the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.93,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ca-01",
        "candidate",
        "mike mcguire",
        "special election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B3ZNFVBF0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA01S-26JAN01-ADEN",
      "question": "Will Audrey Denney win the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)?",
      "description": "Audrey Denney",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Audrey Denney: The named candidate's victory is determined by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from California electoral authorities by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T21:21:18Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T21:21:18Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Audrey Denney wins the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.35,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B3ZNFVBF0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA01S-26JAN01-KWIL",
      "question": "Will Kyle Wilson win the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)?",
      "description": "Kyle Wilson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kyle Wilson: The named candidate's victory is determined by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from California electoral authorities by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T21:21:18Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T21:21:18Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kyle Wilson wins the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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        "special election"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XK0MF7QYM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B3ZNFVBF0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA01S-26JAN01-JGAL",
      "question": "Will James Gallagher win the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)?",
      "description": "James Gallagher",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "James Gallagher: The named candidate's victory is determined by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from California electoral authorities by January 1, 2027.",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If James Gallagher wins the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
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        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 22.45,
      "volume_total_usd": 13975.02,
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Brian Dahle win the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs)?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brian Dahle: The named candidate's victory is determined by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from California electoral authorities by January 1, 2027.",
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