{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2BF5TFGQJ0",
  "slug": "kxca11person-26",
  "question": "CA-11 House winner? ",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "us-house-elections",
    "california-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "congressional-race",
    "electoral-prediction"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the CA-11 U.S. House election, resolving November 2026. Kalshi lists five candidate-specific contracts: Scott Wiener, Saikat Chakrabarti, Marie Hurabiell, Connie Chan, and Matt Haney. Each contract is mutually exclusive; traders express conviction by buying the named-candidate contract. California county clerks and boards of elections provide the certified result under Kalshi staff determination.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FR0YQMYXT8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.9111,
      "volume_total_usd": 44963.0702,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "question": "Who will win the CA-11 House election?",
      "description": "Marie Hurabiell",
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      "underlying_reference": "Marie Hurabiell: California county clerks and boards of elections will certify the winner of the referenced House race by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "question": "Who will win the CA-11 House election?",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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