{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CS1LLBDNJ0",
  "slug": "kxca11primary-26",
  "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-11 primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "california-elections",
    "primary-election",
    "2026",
    "congress"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from California's 11th Congressional District primary in 2026. California uses a top-two jungle primary, so the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. All nine markets are Kalshi contracts priced on individual candidate outcomes. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using official results from California county clerks and boards of elections.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M62M67TV77",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2TY8HXVF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CS1LLBDNJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA11PRIMARY-26-NPEL",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-11 primary?",
      "description": "Nancy Pelosi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California county clerks and boards of elections announce official results for the 2026 CA-11 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:52Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:52Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nancy Pelosi advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.58,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
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      ],
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QJTMTJND49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CS1LLBDNJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA11PRIMARY-26-SWIE",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-11 primary?",
      "description": "Scott Wiener",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California county clerks and boards of elections announce official results for the 2026 CA-11 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:32Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:32Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If Scott Wiener advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-11 primary?",
      "description": "Saikat Chakrabarti",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:59Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Saikat Chakrabarti advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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    {
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-11 primary?",
      "description": "Christine Pelosi",
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      "underlying_reference": "California county clerks and boards of elections announce official results for the 2026 CA-11 primary election.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:12:05Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Christine Pelosi advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "rules_raw": "If David Ganezer advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXCA11PRIMARY-26-CCHA",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 CA-11 primary?",
      "description": "Connie Chan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California county clerks and boards of elections announce official results for the 2026 CA-11 primary election.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:44Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Connie Chan advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "underlying_reference": "California county clerks and boards of elections announce official results for the 2026 CA-11 primary election.",
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    },
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      "outcome": "NO",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2TY8HXVF0",
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QJTMTJND49",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T14:11:32Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CS1LLBDNJ0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}