{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
  "slug": "kxca40primaryadvance-26",
  "question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the CA-40 primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "ca-40-district",
    "top-two-primary",
    "house-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which two candidates advance from the California State Assembly District 40 top-two primary. All six contracts are Kalshi-native, each pricing a distinct candidate's advancement outcome. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using certified results from the relevant county clerk. The authoritative source is California's official primary election results for Assembly District 40.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LWJMRF9ZN5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWJMRF9ZN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA40PRIMARYADVANCE-26-KCAL",
      "question": "Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?",
      "description": "Ken Calvert",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California's official primary election results for State Assembly District 40, as certified by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determine advancement to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T14:32:09Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T14:32:09Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ken Calvert advances in the CA-40 top 2 primary election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4295.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 19061.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
        "ca-40",
        "ken calvert",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2L7R4BSL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA40PRIMARYADVANCE-26-YKIM",
      "question": "Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?",
      "description": "Young Kim",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California's official primary election results for State Assembly District 40, as certified by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determine advancement to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T01:13:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T01:13:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Young Kim advances in the CA-40 top 2 primary election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3324.48,
      "volume_total_usd": 18812.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "young kim"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QWV5GLHD87",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA40PRIMARYADVANCE-26-JKER",
      "question": "Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?",
      "description": "Joe Kerr",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California's official primary election results for State Assembly District 40, as certified by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determine advancement to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:01Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:01Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joe Kerr advances in the CA-40 top 2 primary election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 14.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "advancement",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XGBLTVR1T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA40PRIMARYADVANCE-26-NLIN",
      "question": "Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?",
      "description": "Nina Linh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California's official primary election results for State Assembly District 40, as certified by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determine advancement to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:08Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:08Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nina Linh advances in the CA-40 top 2 primary election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L93CDX86X3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA40PRIMARYADVANCE-26-LRAM",
      "question": "Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?",
      "description": "Lisa Ramirez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California's official primary election results for State Assembly District 40, as certified by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determine advancement to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:16Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:16Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lisa Ramirez advances in the CA-40 top 2 primary election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
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        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "advancement",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8K4DSD2706",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXCA40PRIMARYADVANCE-26-EVAR",
      "question": "Who will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?",
      "description": "Esther Kim Varet",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California's official primary election results for State Assembly District 40, as certified by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determine advancement to the general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:24Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T01:14:24Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Esther Kim Varet advances in the CA-40 top 2 primary election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8K4DSD2706",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QWV5GLHD87",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2L7R4BSL5",
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      "final_price": 1,
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9BLKQGBCC2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}